Ferroviária vs São José-SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
29/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 4

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Michael Paulista ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Vitor Barreto ,
  • 35', 2 - 1, Vitor Barreto ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 3 - 1, Douglas Skilo ,
  • 86', 🟥,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Fabio ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
45.6%
Draw
30.4%
São José-SP
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.9% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 30.2% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • São José-SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Ferroviária - São José-SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.14)
    3.01
    (3.06)
    3.83
    (3.36)
    9.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • São José-SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ferroviária could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - São José-SP were as follows:
    25.03.2026 São José-SP - Ferroviária 0:1
    18.02.2026 São José-SP - Ferroviária 1:1
    16.02.2025 Ferroviária - São José-SP 0:1
    09.03.2024 São José-SP - Ferroviária 1:2
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Latest results of São José-SP
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    Second stage

    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Votuporanguense ✔ 541012:3913
    2Ituano52125:7-27
    3Piracicaba51225:415
    4Agua Santa50232:10-82


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventus-SP ✔ 54017:3412
    2Ferroviaria53028:539
    3Sao Jose EC52034:7-36
    4Sertaozinho51044:8-43

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Juventus-SP is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)