São José-SP vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 11

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Albano ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Thomaz ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', 🟥,

Chances of winning


São José-SP
35.9%
Draw
32.3%
Ferroviária
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 30.6% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 31.4% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São José-SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José-SP than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • São José-SP - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.69)
    2.84
    (2.99)
    2.89
    (2.59)
    8.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for São José-SP - Ferroviária?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Ferroviária (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).
    • São José-SP has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São José-SP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, São José-SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São José-SP - Ferroviária were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Ferroviária - São José-SP 0:1
    09.03.2024 São José-SP - Ferroviária 1:2
    Latest results of São José-SP
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa ✔ 1491422:13928
    2Ferroviaria ✔ 1483321:111027
    3Sao Jose EC ✔ 1483320:11927
    4Ituano ✔ 1483319:11827
    5Votuporanguense ✔ 1473415:12324
    6Osasco Sporting1457221:16522
    7Juventus-SP1455420:19120
    8Sertaozinho1354415:18-319
    9Piracicaba1454511:14-319
    10Inter de Limeira1444614:16-216
    11Taubate1437421:22-116
    12Santo Andre1443712:20-815
    13Linense1426611:17-612
    14Monte Azul1325614:17-311
    15Gremio Prudente1418511:15-411
    16Sao Bento ✔ 1412116:21-155

          Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Paulista A3

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Agua Santa is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ferroviaria is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Jose EC is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Ituano is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Votuporanguense is Qualified for Paulista A2 (Second stage )
    Sao Bento is Relegated to Paulista A3