Result
2:3
21/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 4
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (313/383) | 84% (321/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 2.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (313/383) | 84% (321/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 61% (27/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (87/115) | 69% (73/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.74 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Lucas Moura 🟨,
- 45+2', Gabriel Pires 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Felipe Negrucci ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 50', 0 - 1, Rene ⚽,
- 58', Lucas Moura ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 58', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 60', Ewerthon ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
- 64', Eduardo Biazus 🟨,
- 70', Lucca Marques ↓, Pedro Ferreira ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Pires ↓, Hudson ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Jonathan Calleri ⚽, Pedro Ferreira (A),
- 78', Soares C. ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Rene (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Ze Vitor ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 85', Joao Vitor ↓, Gustavo Sciencia ↑,
- 85', Caio Roque ↓, Eric Botteghin ↑,
- 89', 1 - 3, Maceio ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Jonathan Calleri ⚽, Bobadilla D. (A),
- 90+2', Hudson 🟨,
- 90+5', Rene 🟥,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
57.9% | Draw
25.6% | Portuguesa
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
São Paulo - Portuguesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.52) |
3.61 ↓
(3.8) |
5.52 ↓
(6.66) |
8.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Portuguesa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 4.
- Recent performances by São Paulo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- São Paulo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, São Paulo is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson
(Inactive)
Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Portuguesa: Lucas Hipolito
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Diaz E.
(Hip Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Portuguesa?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against São Paulo?
Portuguesa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Portuguesa were as follows:
29.01.2025
Portuguesa
-
São Paulo
1:2
27.01.2024
São Paulo
-
Portuguesa
1:0
26.01.2023
São Paulo
-
Portuguesa
4:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Portuguesa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Novorizontino ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Guarani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Primavera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2
