Sarnese vs Virtus Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 17

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 70', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Sarnese
42.4%
Draw
28.9%
Virtus Francavilla
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 26.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 26.6% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Francavilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sarnese - Virtus Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.38)
    3.12
    (3.41)
    3.14
    (2.54)
    10.9%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sarnese - Virtus Francavilla?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sarnese (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Sarnese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Virtus Francavilla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Sarnese
    14.12.2025 Francavilla - Sarnese 0:4
    07.12.2025 Sarnese - Fidelis Andria 2:1
    30.11.2025 Nardo - Sarnese 1:1
    23.11.2025 Sarnese - Acerrana 6:1
    16.11.2025 Nola - Sarnese 3:3
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

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