Result
1:0
29/12/2024 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (333/393) | 83% (271/325) |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Petriccione J. 🟨,
- 21', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sepe L. ↓, Fiorillo V. ↑,
- 46', Ruggeri F. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 52', Stojanovic P. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 0, Iemmello P. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
- 58', Compagnon M. ↓, Brignola E. ↑,
- 71', Pontisso S. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 72', Iemmello P. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
- 72', Tongya F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 78', Reine-Adelaide J. ↓, Soriano R. ↑,
- 82', Amatucci L. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 83', Jaroszynski P. 🟨,
- 86', Pittarello F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Wlodarczyk S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
40.9% | Draw
30.2% | Salernitana
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Catanzaro - Salernitana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.05) |
3.13 ↓
(3.24) |
3.27 ↓
(3.68) |
5.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Salernitana?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Salernitana will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Catanzaro: 44.1% – 94.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Catanzaro will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Breit P.
(Injury)
Coulibaly M.
(Injury)
D'Alessandro M.
(Injury)
Koutsoupias I.
(Injury)
Volpe G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Salernitana: Ghiglione P.
(Red Card)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Salernitana?
Catanzaro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Catanzaro?
Salernitana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Salernitana were as follows:
29.09.2024
Salernitana
-
Catanzaro
0:0
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Salernitana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
