Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marinhense
33.4% | Draw
32.8% | SB Castelo Branco
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-2%)
Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.43) |
2.75 ↓
(2.96) |
2.67 ↓
(2.83) |
11%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Marinhense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marinhense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against SB Castelo Branco?
Marinhense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Marinhense?
SB Castelo Branco has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
09.11.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Marinhense
3:0
29.03.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Marinhense
0:0
08.12.2024
Marinhense
-
SB Castelo Branco
0:0
07.01.2024
SB Castelo Branco
-
Marinhense
2:0
20.08.2023
Marinhense
-
SB Castelo Branco
4:3
Latest results of Marinhense
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 30:8 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 32:22 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Uniao Da Serra | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 30:12 | 18 | 38 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Peniche | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 27 |
| 9 | Lajense | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Fatima | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:28 | -13 | 23 |
| 12 | Electrico | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 31:55 | -24 | 19 |
| 13 | Samora Correia | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 17 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21:40 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
