SB Castelo Branco vs Mortágua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
45
Shots on target
31
Corner kicks
44
Total shots
45
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
14
Corner kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 70', 2 - 1, ,
  • 82', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


SB Castelo Branco
42.2%
Draw
32.4%
Mortágua
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 32.1% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for SB Castelo Branco have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.14)
    2.79
    (2.82)
    3.54
    (3.51)
    10.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 2.
    • Mortágua has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • SB Castelo Branco could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco 1:1
    16.02.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua 1:1
    06.10.2024 Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco 0:0
    21.01.2024 SB Castelo Branco - Mortágua 2:0
    03.09.2023 Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco 1:2
    Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
    Latest results of Mortágua
    21.12.2025 Eléctrico - Mortágua 1:2
    07.12.2025 Os Marialvas - Mortágua 0:1
    29.11.2025 Mortágua - Naval 2:2
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache22155230:82250
    2SB Castelo Branco22133639:201942
    3Naval 189323125632:221041
    4Uniao Da Serra22117432:191340
    5Oliveira Hospital22108430:121838
    6Mortagua2296720:22-233
    7Os Marialvas2294930:26431
    8Peniche2276926:32-627
    9Lajense2368930:31-126
    10Fatima2267918:24-625
    11Marinhense2258915:28-1323
    12Electrico23541431:55-2419
    13Samora Correia22451314:29-1517
    14SC Lusitania23441521:40-1916

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation