Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Naval
40.5% | Draw
30.5% | SB Castelo Branco
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naval has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Naval - SB Castelo Branco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25
(2.25) |
2.99 ↓
(3) |
3.15 ↑
(3) |
9.7%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- In recent matches, Naval has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SB Castelo Branco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Naval has had a series of away games.
- Naval could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Naval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 1:5.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Naval won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7.
How many head-to-head matches has Naval won against SB Castelo Branco?
Naval has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Naval?
SB Castelo Branco has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - SB Castelo Branco were as follows:
17.08.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Naval
1:0
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
