Result
0:1
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 16
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 🟥,
Chances of winning
SB Castelo Branco
43.1% | Draw
31.1% | Os Marialvas
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.96) |
2.91 ↓
(3.29) |
3.53 ↑
(3.47) |
10.3%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SB Castelo Branco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 10 in the zone Relegation).
- SB Castelo Branco is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marialvas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, SB Castelo Branco is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Os Marialvas?
SB Castelo Branco has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Os Marialvas won against SB Castelo Branco?
Os Marialvas has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas were as follows:
24.08.2025
Os Marialvas
-
SB Castelo Branco
2:1
23.02.2025
Os Marialvas
-
SB Castelo Branco
1:0
27.10.2024
SB Castelo Branco
-
Os Marialvas
1:2
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Latest results of Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
