Fatima vs SC Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
63
Corner kicks
84
Total shots
105
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Fatima
48.4%
Draw
29.4%
SC Lusitânia
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 28.3% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 27.6% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Fatima - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2)
    3.07
    (3.18)
    4.07
    (3.37)
    10.8%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Fatima have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • SC Lusitânia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, SC Lusitânia has had a series of home games.
    • Fatima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fatima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatima - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
    16.11.2025 SC Lusitânia - Fatima 2:1
    Latest results of Fatima
    10.01.2026 União da Serra - Fatima 0:0
    21.12.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Fatima 1:0
    14.12.2025 Fatima - Eléctrico 0:0
    29.11.2025 Fatima - Os Marialvas 2:0
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

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