Result
2:0
09/04/2023 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 27
- Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu |
 France | beIN Sports Max |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports |
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
49% | Draw
26.5% | Schalke 04
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Schalke 04 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Hoffenheim - Schalke 04 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(1.98) |
3.61 ↓
(3.71) |
3.91 ↑
(3.52) |
4.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Schalke 04?
Users Predictions:
49 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 33 - 67.3%). Schalke will win (votes: 7 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 18.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 54.2% – 80.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 14 (19.71%), project points - 34, currently - 25, a small chance of relegated (15%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (39.23%), project points - 29, currently - 21, a good chance of relegated (69%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 63, importance 63, match rating 63. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Schalke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Hoffenheim is a favorite.
- Last 22 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 41-38.
- Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-16.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Schalke 04?
Hoffenheim has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Hoffenheim?
Schalke 04 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Schalke 04 were as follows:
18.10.2022
Hoffenheim
-
Schalke 04
5:1
14.10.2022
Schalke 04
-
Hoffenheim
0:3
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Schalke 04
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30:4 | 26 | 24 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Mainz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
