Result
3:1
07/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 8
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (152/248) | 73% (234/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (152/248) | 73% (234/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (12/67) | 52% (39/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (30/74) | 62% (73/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 38% (13/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.19 | -0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Mejia Moreira J. D. 🟨,
- 17', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Mena A. ⚽,
- 27', Mejia Moreira J. D. ↓, Montano M. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Miranda B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Velez C. ↓, Puente J. ↑,
- 57', Rolon C. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Reasco D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Rolon C. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 69', Jaramilo R. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
- 69', Mina J. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
- 73', Borja F. ↓, Benalcazar L. ↑,
- 74', Ciccioli U. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 74', Miranda B. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 1, Chala J. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
- 84', Reasco D. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 87', Montano M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
17.4% | Draw
21.7% | SD Aucas
60.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
El Nacional - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.33 ↑
(4.15) |
4.27 ↑
(3.99) |
1.52 ↓
(1.73) |
7.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for El Nacional - SD Aucas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. El Nacional (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aucas (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
- El Nacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aucas is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Aucas is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against SD Aucas?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against El Nacional?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - SD Aucas were as follows:
01.11.2025
SD Aucas
-
El Nacional
3:3
14.07.2025
SD Aucas
-
El Nacional
1:0
24.08.2024
El Nacional
-
SD Aucas
0:0
20.03.2024
SD Aucas
-
El Nacional
3:4
05.08.2023
El Nacional
-
SD Aucas
2:2
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 53:35 | 18 | 62 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 51:41 | 10 | 59 |
| 9 | Aucas | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 59:54 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Emelec | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 42:49 | -7 | 55 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 44:67 | -23 | 45 |
| 12 | Delfin | 39 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 30:62 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
