Result
3:3
01/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 4
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (212/280) | 77% (328/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (212/280) | 77% (328/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (33/61) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (56/85) | 57% (80/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (19/25) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | -1.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Miranda B. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽, Mena A. (A),
- 40', Spina A. L. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽, Cano L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Mora F. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 46', Spina A. L. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 1, Montenegro B. ⚽, Miranda B. (A),
- 51', 3 - 2, Reasco D. ⚽,
- 52', Rivera B. 🟨,
- 65', Cela A. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
- 66', Mina J. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 76', Montenegro B. ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
- 76', Cano L. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 3, Reasco D. ⚽, Mena A. (A),
- 85', Rolon C. 🟨,
- 86', Mejia Moreira J. D. ↓, Cabezas Briones R. A. ↑,
- 90+1', Jaramilo R. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
59% | Draw
23.2% | El Nacional
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
SD Aucas - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.56) |
3.96 ↓
(4.01) |
5.17 ↓
(5.19) |
8.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - El Nacional?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). El Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aucas: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 2.
- Aucas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Nacional is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Aucas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against El Nacional?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against SD Aucas?
El Nacional has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - El Nacional were as follows:
14.07.2025
SD Aucas
-
El Nacional
1:0
24.08.2024
El Nacional
-
SD Aucas
0:0
20.03.2024
SD Aucas
-
El Nacional
3:4
05.08.2023
El Nacional
-
SD Aucas
2:2
26.02.2023
SD Aucas
-
El Nacional
0:2
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Aucas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 49 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 39:38 | 1 | 49 |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 41:54 | -13 | 42 |
| 12 | Delfin | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 30:57 | -27 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
