Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 13
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/515) | 60% (139/231) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/515) | 60% (139/231) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 16% (11/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (116/158) | 46% (29/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (9/38) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Jaramillo M. 🟨,
- 28', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
- 28', Zambrano J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Zambrano C. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Aleman C. ⚽, Jaramillo M. (A),
- 53', Segura E. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
- 58', Zambrano F. 🟨,
- 61', Mina A. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 68', Zambrano J. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 74', Ramirez B. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 74', Valencia D. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Gruezo E. ⚽, Cano L. (A),
- 78', Gruezo E. 🟨,
- 80', Angulo L. 🟨,
- 80', Montenegro B. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
- 81', Aleman C. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
- 81', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Madruga A. ↑,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
75.2% | Draw
16.5% | Manta
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
SD Aucas - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.38) |
5.71 ↑
(4.06) |
10.97 ↑
(9.7) |
7.7%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Manta?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aucas: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Aucas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Manta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aucas is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Aucas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Manta?
SD Aucas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against SD Aucas?
Manta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Manta were as follows:
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
