Result
1:1
15/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 28
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/325) | 78% (239/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (245/325) | 78% (239/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/43) | 41% (18/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (57/93) | 65% (62/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/35) | 27% (8/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.47 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Madruga A. 🟨,
- 45', Patino D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Bartora G. 🟥,
- 61', Zambrano J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 64', Almagro A. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 64', Cabezas D. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 64', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
- 72', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
- 77', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
- 77', Pepinos E. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
- 80', Ramirez B. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 84', Miranda B. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 84', Olaya V. ↓, Rolon C. ↑,
- 85', Torres D. 🟥,
- 87', 1 - 0, Alman J. ⚽, Valencia M. (A),
- 90+1', Piedra H. 🟥,
- 90+4', Cano L. 🟥,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Porozo S. ⚽, Rolon C. (A),
Chances of winning
Manta
27.7% | Draw
28.3% | SD Aucas
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Aucas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Aucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Manta - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↓
(4.7) |
3.29 ↓
(3.4) |
2.13 ↑
(1.72) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manta - SD Aucas?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Manta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aucas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0, 1st Half - Manta (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Manta (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Manta (votes: 3 - 60%). Aucas (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aucas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against SD Aucas?
Manta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Manta?
SD Aucas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - SD Aucas were as follows:
17.05.2025
SD Aucas
-
Manta
1:1
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
