Manta vs SD Aucas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

Liga Pro - Round 28
Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	1.94
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
12	11
Passes
75% (245/325)	78% (239/306)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	1.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.93	2.47
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
6	10
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
12	11
Touches in opposition box
20	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	17
Passes
75% (245/325)	78% (239/306)
Long passes
40% (17/43)	41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
61% (57/93)	65% (62/95)
Crosses
26% (9/35)	27% (8/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	1.61
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
17	9
Tackles
53% (9/17)	80% (4/5)
Duels won
46	34
Clearances
33	32
Interceptions
10	18
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
2.47	0.93
Goals prevented
1.47	-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Madruga A. 🟨,
45', Patino D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Bartora G. 🟥,
61', Zambrano J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
64', Almagro A. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
64', Cabezas D. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
64', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Ospitaleche F. ↑,
72', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
77', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
77', Pepinos E. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
80', Ramirez B. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
84', Miranda B. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
84', Olaya V. ↓, Rolon C. ↑,
85', Torres D. 🟥,
87', 1 - 0, Alman J. ⚽, Valencia M. (A),
90+1', Piedra H. 🟥,
90+4', Cano L. 🟥,
90+7', 1 - 1, Porozo S. ⚽, Rolon C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Manta
27.7%

Draw
28.3%

SD Aucas
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

27%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

26.3%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Aucas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Aucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manta - SD Aucas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (4.7)	3.29 ↓ (3.4)	2.13 ↑ (1.72)	7.2% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Manta - SD Aucas?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Aucas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Aucas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Manta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against SD Aucas?

Manta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Manta?

SD Aucas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - SD Aucas were as follows:

17.05.2025 SD Aucas - Manta 1:1

Latest results of Manta

30.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Manta 2:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Manta - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

17.08.2025 LDU Quito - Manta 1:1 ✺

13.08.2025 San Antonio - Manta 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Manta - Independiente del Valle 0:0 ✺

Latest results of SD Aucas

10.09.2025 SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca 1:2 ✺

30.08.2025 SD Aucas - Emelec 1:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Libertad Loja - SD Aucas 3:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 SD Aucas - LDU Quito 1:0 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	30	18	10	2	55:23	32	64
2	Barcelona SC ✔	30	16	6	8	46:33	13	54
3	LDU Quito ✔	30	14	9	7	48:31	17	51
4	U. Catolica	30	13	10	7	58:39	19	49
5	Orense	30	13	8	9	34:32	2	47
6	Libertad	30	12	10	8	42:36	6	46
7	Dep. Cuenca	30	13	7	10	35:29	6	46
8	Emelec ✔	30	11	9	10	30:34	-4	42
9	Aucas ✔	30	11	8	11	38:41	-3	41
10	Macara ✔	30	9	11	10	32:30	2	38
11	EL Nacional ✔	30	9	7	14	32:46	-14	34
12	Delfin	30	6	13	11	26:42	-16	31
13	Tecnico U	30	7	7	16	26:46	-20	28
14	Vinotinto	30	7	6	17	34:43	-9	27
15	Mushuc Runa ✔	30	7	6	17	38:50	-12	27
16	Manta ✔	30	5	11	14	34:53	-19	26

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )