Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.26
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
313
Passes
85% (322/379)91% (477/527)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.592.82
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
313
Touches in opposition box
931
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
76
Passes
85% (322/379)91% (477/527)
Long passes
33% (13/40)54% (13/24)
Passes in final third
76% (113/148)77% (98/127)
Crosses
20% (3/15)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.48
Throw-ins
1215
Fouls
67
Tackles
76% (13/17)100% (6/6)
Duels won
3722
Clearances
2912
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.822.59
Goals prevented
1.820.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 28', Rothrock P. 🟨,
  • 40', Desler M. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Rubio D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Brunell S. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Minoungou G. , Musovski D. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 60', Musovski D. , Morris J. ,
  • 60', Rothrock P. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 62', Rubio D. , Bukari O. ,
  • 62', Sabovic B. , Pereira D. ,
  • 70', Rusnak A. , Leyva D. ,
  • 78', Sanchez I. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 78', Wolff O. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 90+2', Ferreira J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Roldan A. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Uzuni M. , Fodrey C. (A), Pereira D. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
30.8%
Draw
27.5%
Seattle Sounders
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 26.6% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 26.4% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Austin FC - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.44)
    3.48
    (3.53)
    2.31
    (2.69)
    4.5%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Austin FC - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Seattle (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1.
    • Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Hawkins S. (Thigh Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Seattle: Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) de La Vega P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Austin FC - Seattle Sounders 0:1
    02.03.2024 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 0:0
    30.08.2023 Austin FC - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    17.05.2023 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 1:2
    10.09.2022 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 3:0
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)