Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaQQ Sports
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.26
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
313
Passes
85% (322/379)91% (477/527)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.632.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.592.82
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
313
Touches in opposition box
931
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
76
Passes
85% (322/379)91% (477/527)
Long passes
33% (13/40)54% (13/24)
Passes in final third
76% (113/148)77% (98/127)
Crosses
20% (3/15)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.501.48
Throw-ins
1215
Fouls
67
Tackles
76% (13/17)100% (6/6)
Duels won
3722
Clearances
2912
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.822.59
Goals prevented
1.820.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 28', Rothrock P. 🟨,
  • 40', Desler M. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Rubio D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Brunell S. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Minoungou G. , Musovski D. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 60', Musovski D. , Morris J. ,
  • 60', Rothrock P. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 62', Rubio D. , Bukari O. ,
  • 62', Sabovic B. , Pereira D. ,
  • 70', Rusnak A. , Leyva D. ,
  • 78', Sanchez I. , Dubersarsky N. ,
  • 78', Wolff O. , Fodrey C. ,
  • 90+2', Ferreira J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Roldan A. , Baker-Whiting R. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Uzuni M. , Fodrey C. (A), Pereira D. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
30.8%
Draw
27.5%
Seattle Sounders
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 26.6% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 26.4% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austin FC's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austin FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Austin FC - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.07
    (2.44)
    3.48
    (3.53)
    2.31
    (2.69)
    4.5%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Austin FC - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Seattle (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1.
    • Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Hawkins S. (Thigh Injury) Kent R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Seattle: Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) de La Vega P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Austin FC - Seattle Sounders 0:1
    02.03.2024 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 0:0
    30.08.2023 Austin FC - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    17.05.2023 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 1:2
    10.09.2022 Seattle Sounders - Austin FC 3:0
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)