Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders
Result
1:3
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.98
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
86% (305/354)92% (495/540)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.952.28
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2125
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
86% (305/354)92% (495/540)
Long passes
45% (15/33)68% (38/56)
Passes in final third
83% (96/116)85% (127/149)
Crosses
32% (6/19)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.29
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (8/12)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.280.95
Goals prevented
-0.72-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Raines B. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Musovski D. , Rothrock P. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 32', 1 - 1, Awodesu F. , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 34', Gomez Andrade Y. 🟨,
  • 37', Artur 🟨,
  • 38', Awodesu F. 🟥,
  • 45', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 45+10', Kim Kee-Hee 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rothrock P. , de La Vega P. ,
  • 46', Bassi A. , Ortiz P. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Rusnak A. , de La Vega P. (A), Gomez Andrade Y. (A2)
  • 55', Gomez Andrade Y. , Bell J. ,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Rusnak A. , Kent R. (A),
  • 65', Artur , Junior Urso ,
  • 65', Bartlow E. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 66', Rusnak A. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 66', Kent R. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 71', Ponce E. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 79', Musovski D. , De Rosario O. ,
  • 80', Lingr O. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 84', De Rosario O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
30.4%
Draw
29.5%
Seattle Sounders
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 26.6% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 26.3% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.39)
    3.23
    (3.57)
    2.4
    (2.83)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 0.
    • Houston has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Escobar F. (Red Card) Holmes D. (Lower-Body Injury) Olusanya T. (Personal Reasons) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Ferreira J. (Muscle Injury) Morris J. (Hamstring Injury) Ragen J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Maurer J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 0:0
    03.11.2024 Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    28.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    28.09.2024 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    19.06.2024 Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders 2:2
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

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