Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.98
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
86% (305/354)92% (495/540)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.952.28
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2125
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
86% (305/354)92% (495/540)
Long passes
45% (15/33)68% (38/56)
Passes in final third
83% (96/116)85% (127/149)
Crosses
32% (6/19)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.29
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (8/12)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.280.95
Goals prevented
-0.72-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Raines B. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Musovski D. , Rothrock P. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 32', 1 - 1, Awodesu F. , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 34', Gomez Andrade Y. 🟨,
  • 37', Artur 🟨,
  • 38', Awodesu F. 🟥,
  • 45', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 45+10', Kim Kee-Hee 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rothrock P. , de La Vega P. ,
  • 46', Bassi A. , Ortiz P. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Rusnak A. , de La Vega P. (A), Gomez Andrade Y. (A2)
  • 55', Gomez Andrade Y. , Bell J. ,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Rusnak A. , Kent R. (A),
  • 65', Artur , Junior Urso ,
  • 65', Bartlow E. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 66', Rusnak A. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 66', Kent R. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 71', Ponce E. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 79', Musovski D. , De Rosario O. ,
  • 80', Lingr O. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 84', De Rosario O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
30.4%
Draw
29.5%
Seattle Sounders
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 26.6% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 26.3% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.39)
    3.23
    (3.57)
    2.4
    (2.83)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Seattle (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Seattle (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 0.
    • Houston has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Escobar F. (Red Card) Holmes D. (Lower-Body Injury) Olusanya T. (Personal Reasons) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Ferreira J. (Muscle Injury) Morris J. (Hamstring Injury) Ragen J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Maurer J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 0:0
    03.11.2024 Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    28.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    28.09.2024 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    19.06.2024 Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders 2:2
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)