Houston Dynamo vs Seattle Sounders: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders
Result
1:3
10/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.98
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
86% (305/354)92% (495/540)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.941.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.952.28
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2125
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
86% (305/354)92% (495/540)
Long passes
45% (15/33)68% (38/56)
Passes in final third
83% (96/116)85% (127/149)
Crosses
32% (6/19)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.681.29
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (8/12)81% (13/16)
Duels won
4144
Clearances
1620
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.280.95
Goals prevented
-0.72-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', Raines B. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Musovski D. , Rothrock P. (A), Roldan C. (A2)
  • 32', 1 - 1, Awodesu F. , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 34', Gomez Andrade Y. 🟨,
  • 37', Artur 🟨,
  • 38', Awodesu F. 🟥,
  • 45', Musovski D. 🟨,
  • 45+10', Kim Kee-Hee 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Rothrock P. , de La Vega P. ,
  • 46', Bassi A. , Ortiz P. ,
  • 47', 1 - 2, Rusnak A. , de La Vega P. (A), Gomez Andrade Y. (A2)
  • 55', Gomez Andrade Y. , Bell J. ,
  • 58', 1 - 3, Rusnak A. , Kent R. (A),
  • 65', Artur , Junior Urso ,
  • 65', Bartlow E. , Felipe Andrade ,
  • 66', Rusnak A. , Ferreira J. ,
  • 66', Kent R. , Minoungou G. ,
  • 71', Ponce E. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 79', Musovski D. , De Rosario O. ,
  • 80', Lingr O. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 84', De Rosario O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
30.4%
Draw
29.5%
Seattle Sounders
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 26.6% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 26.3% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.
  • Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seattle Sounders's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.39)
    3.23
    (3.57)
    2.4
    (2.83)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Seattle will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 0.
    • Houston has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Seattle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Houston: Ennali L. (Knee Injury) Escobar F. (Red Card) Holmes D. (Lower-Body Injury) Olusanya T. (Personal Reasons) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Ferreira J. (Muscle Injury) Morris J. (Hamstring Injury) Ragen J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Maurer J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 0:0
    03.11.2024 Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders 1:2
    28.10.2024 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    28.09.2024 Seattle Sounders - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    19.06.2024 Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders 2:2
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of Seattle Sounders
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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