Result
0:3
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 25
- Referee: Piskov G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
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| 21 | 18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Sidney C. ⚽, Panov T. (A),
- 36', Beyhan B. 🟨,
- 42', Schouten R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Onasci K. ↓, Abou A. ↑,
- 46', Ivanov G. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 2, Panayotov V. ⚽,
- 55', Martin D. 🟨,
- 58', Fontaine N. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 3, Padilla J. ⚽, Martin D. (A),
- 66', Stojanovic S. ↓, Hamdiji W. ↑,
- 66', Baurenski Y. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
- 73', Beyhan B. ↓, Calcan A. ↑,
- 73', Tonev D. ↓, Donchev A. ↑,
- 78', Padilla J. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
- 85', Chandarov A. 🟨,
- 86', Chandarov A. ↓, Zlatev N. ↑,
- 86', Sidney C. ↓, Lazarov G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Septemvri Sofia 21.4% | Draw 27.9% | Cherno More Varna 50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cherno More Varna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cherno More Varna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.37 ↓ (5.53) |
3.31 ↓ (3.85) |
1.83 ↑ (1.56) |
7.9% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cherno More is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Cherno More Varna?
Septemvri Sofia has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cherno More Varna won against Septemvri Sofia?
Cherno More Varna has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
27.09.2025
Cherno More Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
1:1
29.11.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Cherno More Varna
1:2
29.07.2024
Cherno More Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
2:0
17.03.2023
Cherno More Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
3:0
05.09.2022
Septemvri Sofia
-
Cherno More Varna
0:0
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Latest results of Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 58:18 | 40 | 62 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:18 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Arda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 21:35 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 21 |
| 15 | Beroe ✔ | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 17:39 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 14:41 | -27 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )