Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna
Result
1:2
29/11/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 17
  • Referee: Valkov V. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, Sportklub 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
810
Shots on Goal
37
Shots off Goal
01
Blocked Shots
52
Free Kicks
2016
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
15
Throw-ins
2630
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Fouls
1514
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', Renan Areias 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Donchev A. , Panayotov V. (A),
  • 37', 0 - 2, Soula M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Onasci K. , Varbanov G. ,
  • 46', Moran M. , Achol M. ,
  • 49', 1 - 2, Schenk X. ,
  • 68', Achol M. 🟨,
  • 71', Panov T. 🟨,
  • 71', Renan Areias , Dimov D. ,
  • 72', Isa I. , Martin D. ,
  • 76', Weslen Junior , Beyhan B. ,
  • 76', Serber K. , Vitinho ,
  • 76', Rupanov B. , Velickovski N. ,
  • 76', Donchev A. , Breno ,
  • 78', Velickovski N. 🟥,
  • 85', Panayotov V. , Pais N. ,
  • 90+3', Martin D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Septemvri Sofia
14.2%
Draw
23.9%
Cherno More Varna
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.6% 25.3% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7% 24.1% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cherno More Varna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.55
    (5.02)
    3.85
    (3.69)
    1.5
    (1.66)
    8%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna?
  • Users Predictions: Cherno More Varna will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 2.
    • Recent matches Septemvri Sofia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cherno More is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Cherno More is absolute favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
    29.07.2024 Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia 2:0
    17.03.2023 Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia 3:0
    05.09.2022 Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna 0:0
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Latest results of Cherno More Varna
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ludogorets22006:066
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia21102:114
    3Levski Sofia11005:053
    4Lok. Plovdiv11001:013
    5Spartak Varna20201:102
    6CSKA Sofia20202:202
    7Beroe20201:102
    8Slavia Sofia10102:201
    9Cherno More10101:101
    10Lok. Sofia10101:101
    11Botev Vratsa20112:3-11
    12Botev Plovdiv10101:101
    13Dobrudzha10010:1-10
    14Arda10010:1-10
    15Montana10010:5-50
    16Septemvri Sofia10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )
          Parva liga (Relegation Group: )