Septemvri Sofia vs Cherno More Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 25
  • Referee: Piskov G. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
34
Corner kicks
32
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
78
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
32
Offsides
04
Free kicks
2118
Throw ins
2517
Fouls
1816

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Sidney C. , Panov T. (A),
  • 36', Beyhan B. 🟨,
  • 42', Schouten R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Onasci K. , Abou A. ,
  • 46', Ivanov G. , Ribeiro E. ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Panayotov V. ,
  • 55', Martin D. 🟨,
  • 58', Fontaine N. , Mattoir F. ,
  • 66', 0 - 3, Padilla J. , Martin D. (A),
  • 66', Stojanovic S. , Hamdiji W. ,
  • 66', Baurenski Y. , Stoichkov S. ,
  • 73', Beyhan B. , Calcan A. ,
  • 73', Tonev D. , Donchev A. ,
  • 78', Padilla J. , Teles D. ,
  • 85', Chandarov A. 🟨,
  • 86', Chandarov A. , Zlatev N. ,
  • 86', Sidney C. , Lazarov G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Septemvri Sofia
21.4%
Draw
27.9%
Cherno More Varna
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.7% 24% 59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 23.3% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cherno More Varna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cherno More Varna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.37
    (5.53)
    3.31
    (3.85)
    1.83
    (1.56)
    7.9%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cherno More may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cherno More is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Septemvri Sofia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia 1:1
    29.11.2024 Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna 1:2
    29.07.2024 Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia 2:0
    17.03.2023 Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia 3:0
    05.09.2022 Septemvri Sofia - Cherno More Varna 0:0
    Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
    Latest results of Cherno More Varna
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 26202458:184062
    2Ludogorets26158349:183153
    3CSKA 1948 Sofia26155642:261650
    4CSKA Sofia26137636:221446
    5Cherno More261110531:171443
    6Lok. Plovdiv26911626:31-538
    7Slavia Sofia2698932:29335
    8Arda2698926:24235
    9Botev Vratsa26810820:21-134
    10Lok. Sofia26810834:31334
    11Botev Plovdiv26861230:36-630
    12Dobrudzha26741521:35-1425
    13Spartak Varna264111123:40-1723
    14Septemvri Sofia26631722:53-3121
    15Beroe ✔ 263101317:39-2219
    16Montana ✔ 26371614:41-2716

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
          efbet League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )