Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 10
- Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 43 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Fourrier B. ⚽,
- 37', Schouten R. 🟨,
- 41', Parra M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zlatev N. ↓, Lazarov G. ↑,
- 46', Panov T. ↓, Martin D. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Atanasov Z. ⚽, Sidney C. (A),
- 67', Fontaine N. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
- 67', Schouten R. ↓, Tomovski B. ↑,
- 70', Panayotov V. 🟨,
- 74', Tonev D. ↓, Phellipe ↑,
- 77', Parra M. ↓, Ozornwafor V. ↑,
- 77', Serber K. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
- 79', Chandarov A. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
- 88', Fourrier B. 🟨,
- 88', Fourrier B. ↓, Dzhamov A. ↑,
- 90+2', Joao Pedro ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
- 90+3', Georgiev Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cherno More Varna
61.5% | Draw
26.8% | Septemvri Sofia
11.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cherno More Varna's form might have worsened.Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cherno More Varna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.3) |
3.82 ↓
(4.8) |
9.05 ↓
(9.3) |
-7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Septemvri Sofia (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 3.
- Cherno More is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Septemvri Sofia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cherno More is the clear favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cherno More Varna won against Septemvri Sofia?
Cherno More Varna has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Septemvri Sofia won against Cherno More Varna?
Septemvri Sofia has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cherno More Varna - Septemvri Sofia were as follows:
29.11.2024
Septemvri Sofia
-
Cherno More Varna
1:2
29.07.2024
Cherno More Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
2:0
17.03.2023
Cherno More Varna
-
Septemvri Sofia
3:0
05.09.2022
Septemvri Sofia
-
Cherno More Varna
0:0
Latest results of Cherno More Varna
Latest results of Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 52:14 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:17 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 40 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26:15 | 11 | 36 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 8 | Arda | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 27 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Spartak Varna | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Dobrudzha | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:29 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Beroe | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 18 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 20:44 | -24 | 18 |
| 16 | Montana | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:36 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
