Fatima vs Sertanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Fatima - Sertanense
Result
1:1
23/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 20

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, ,
  • 22', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 69', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Fatima
60%
Draw
24.6%
Sertanense
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 21.6% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 20.9% 10.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatima's form might have worsened.
  • Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fatima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Fatima - Sertanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.34)
    3.71
    (4.2)
    5.92
    (8.35)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Fatima in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Sertanense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Fatima is indisputable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Fatima to win the game is with odds 1.34.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Fatima won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fatima won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatima - Sertanense were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Sertanense - Fatima 0:1
    Latest results of Fatima
    16.02.2025 União de Coimbra - Fatima 1:2
    09.02.2025 Fatima - Marinhense 1:0
    02.02.2025 Peniche - Fatima 0:1
    26.01.2025 Fatima - SB Castelo Branco 1:0
    19.01.2025 Alcains - Fatima 1:2
    Latest results of Sertanense
    16.02.2025 Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro 1:0
    09.02.2025 Alverca B - Sertanense 1:1
    02.02.2025 Pombal - Sertanense 0:2
    19.01.2025 Marinhense - Sertanense 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1