Pombal vs Sertanense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
02/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', 0 - 1, ,
  • 60', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Pombal
47.8%
Draw
28.2%
Sertanense
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 25.6% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7% 24.5% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pombal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pombal's form might have worsened.
  • Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sertanense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pombal than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pombal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sertanense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pombal - Sertanense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.58)
    3.24
    (3.54)
    3.8
    (5.28)
    9.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pombal - Sertanense were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Sertanense - Pombal 3:1
    Latest results of Pombal
    26.01.2025 Mortágua - Pombal 1:3
    19.01.2025 Pombal - União de Coimbra 3:2
    12.01.2025 Arronches Benfica - Pombal 2:2
    07.01.2025 Sousa - Pombal 2:1
    05.01.2025 Marinhense - Pombal 2:0
    Latest results of Sertanense
    19.01.2025 Marinhense - Sertanense 2:0
    12.01.2025 Sertanense - Peniche 1:1
    15.12.2024 Alcains - Sertanense 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 25167233:102355
    2Oliveira Hospital25138436:132347
    3SB Castelo Branco25144742:222046
    4Naval 189325136634:231145
    5Uniao Da Serra25128536:231344
    6Os Marialvas25106933:27636
    7Mortagua25106921:25-436
    8Fatima25781023:28-529
    9Lajense25781036:37-129
    10Peniche25761229:42-1327
    11Samora Correia25751323:33-1026
    12Marinhense ✔ 25591120:35-1524
    13Electrico ✔ 25541632:60-2819
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 25451623:43-2017

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Marinhense is Relegated to
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to