Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Laka A. B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sestao
70.7% | Draw
19.6% | Alfaro
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+5%)
Sestao - Alfaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.38) |
4.67 ↑
(4.05) |
9.42 ↑
(7.58) |
9.4%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sestao - Alfaro?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Sestao have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alfaro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sestao is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Sestao won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestao won against Alfaro?
Sestao has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Sestao?
Alfaro has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sestao - Alfaro were as follows:
07.09.2025
Alfaro
-
Sestao
2:2
05.02.2023
Alfaro
-
Sestao
1:1
18.09.2022
Sestao
-
Alfaro
2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 42:20 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Tudelano | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 43:27 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 29:14 | 15 | 44 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | UD Logrones | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 52:27 | 25 | 41 |
| 6 | Sestao | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Gernika | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Ebro | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 37 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Amorebieta | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Basconia | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Naxara | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 18:28 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Ejea | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Beasain | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Alfaro | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20:42 | -22 | 17 |
| 18 | Zaragoza B | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
