Alfaro vs Sestao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Alfaro - Sestao
05/02/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Alfaro
17%
Draw
26.4%
Sestao
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 27.8% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5% 27% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfaro's form might have worsened.
  • Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alfaro - Sestao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.37
    (3.72)
    3.47
    (3.23)
    1.62
    (1.88)
    9.3%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Sestao were as follows:
    18.09.2022 Sestao - Alfaro 2:1
    Latest results of Alfaro
    29.01.2023 Real Sociedad C - Alfaro 3:1
    22.01.2023 Alfaro - Racing Rioja 0:0
    15.01.2023 Alfaro - Arnedo 2:1
    07.01.2023 Brea - Alfaro 2:0
    17.12.2022 Alfaro - Cirbonero 0:2
    Latest results of Sestao
    28.01.2023 Sestao - Utebo 1:0
    22.01.2023 Tarazona - Sestao 2:1
    15.01.2023 Izarra - Sestao 0:0
    08.01.2023 Sestao - Tudelano 2:0
    20.12.2022 Sestao - Athletic Bilbao 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2