APS Bomet vs Shabana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
24/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 18

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 1 - 0, ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Olega ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 2, ,
  • 65', 1 - 3, ,
  • 78', 🟥,
  • 81', 2 - 3, ,
  • 82', 3 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


APS Bomet
27.1%
Draw
31%
Shabana
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 30.1% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 29.3% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • APS Bomet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for APS Bomet than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • APS Bomet - Shabana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (3.35)
    2.91
    (3.04)
    2.15
    (2.15)
    11%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 4).
    • APS Bomet has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Shabana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Shabana has had a series of home games.
    • Shabana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, APS Bomet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between APS Bomet - Shabana were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Shabana - APS Bomet 4:2
    Latest results of APS Bomet
    17.01.2026 AFC Leopards - APS Bomet 2:1
    10.01.2026 APS Bomet - Mara Sugar 1:1
    21.12.2025 APS Bomet - Tusker 0:1
    16.12.2025 Kenya CB - APS Bomet 4:2
    12.12.2025 APS Bomet - Posta Rangers 0:0
    Latest results of Shabana
    17.01.2026 Shabana - Sofapaka 1:0
    11.01.2026 Shabana - Gor Mahia 0:0
    04.01.2026 Shabana - Nairobi United 1:3
    20.12.2025 Kenya CB - Shabana 1:3
    17.12.2025 Shabana - Mara Sugar 0:0
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia26176344:182657
    2Leopards27167436:181855
    3Kakamega Homeboyz271210542:281446
    4Police FC261110523:17643
    5Shabana27127831:30143
    6KCB27117927:27040
    7Nairobi United27109834:27739
    8Muranga27108933:30338
    9Bandari27814521:18338
    10Tusker261141123:26-337
    11Mara Sugar27713725:25034
    12Posta Rangers277101023:32-931
    13Mathare Utd26861222:27-530
    14Kariobangi Sharks275111118:29-1126
    15Ulinzi Stars27671424:31-725
    16APS Bomet275101225:33-825
    17Bidco United274101316:30-1422
    18Sofapaka27371715:36-2116

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