Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Dwang J. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 80', 2 - 1, Onyango A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gor Mahia
53.4% | Draw
28.3% | Shabana
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Shabana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Gor Mahia - Shabana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.7) |
3.2 ↓
(3.38) |
4.92 ↑
(4.83) |
10.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3).
- Gor Mahia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shabana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Gor Mahia is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gor Mahia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Shabana?
Gor Mahia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabana won against Gor Mahia?
Shabana has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Shabana were as follows:
11.01.2026
Shabana
-
Gor Mahia
0:0
04.05.2025
Shabana
-
Gor Mahia
0:1
11.12.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Shabana
1:1
11.05.2024
Gor Mahia
-
Shabana
1:0
01.11.2023
Shabana
-
Gor Mahia
0:1
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Latest results of Shabana
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
