Result
1:3
04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Omala D. ⚽,
- 45', 0 - 2, Karamor M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Shabana
43.4% | Draw
33.2% | Nairobi United
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shabana's performance.Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nairobi United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shabana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nairobi United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Shabana - Nairobi United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.76) |
2.74 ↓
(3.03) |
3.87 ↑
(2.45) |
9.9%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Shabana - Nairobi United?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Shabana will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nairobi United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Nairobi United (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nairobi United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 13).
- Shabana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nairobi United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shabana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Shabana is considered a favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabana won against Nairobi United?
Shabana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nairobi United won against Shabana?
Nairobi United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shabana - Nairobi United were as follows:
Latest results of Shabana
Latest results of Nairobi United
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
