Result
0:0
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ilves TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | UPL TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Tobias V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Eguinaldo ↓, Shved M. ↑,
- 55', Tobias V. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
- 58', Popovitch A. ↓, Veteli J. ↑,
- 58', Ulundu V. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
- 68', Bondarenko A. ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
- 68', Traore L. ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
- 68', Stjopin M. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 68', Aspegren F. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 70', Jukkola O. 🟨,
- 81', Pedrinho ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
- 83', Kanga J. ↓, Soderback M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ilves
15% | Draw
20.3% | Shakhtar Donetsk
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.33 ↑
(4.2) |
4.59 ↑
(4.22) |
1.45 ↓
(1.65) |
6.8%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 61.5% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-6. 2nd leg.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Shakhtar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Shakhtar is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Ilves has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Ilves?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
10.07.2025
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Ilves
6:0
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 3 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Hibernian | |
| 5 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 9 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 10 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Ostrava | Bye | |
| 12 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Lugano | Bye | |
| 14 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Braga | |
| 19 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Utrecht | |
| 21 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
| 22 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Besiktas | Bye | |
| 28 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
| 2 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | |
| 3 | PAOK | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
| 5 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | |
| 6 | Ostrava | Legia | |
| 7 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | |
| 8 | Levski Sofia | Braga | |
| 10 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | |
| 11 | Anderlecht | Hacken | |
| 14 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | |
Semi-finals
