Result
0:1
10/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 11
- Referee: Harvey R. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/329) | 85% (410/483) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/329) | 85% (410/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 44% (32/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (80/129) | 66% (58/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Byrne J. ⚽, O'Sullivan C. (A),
- 18', Hoare S. ↓, Grivosti T. ↑,
- 45', Byrne J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', McGinty E. 🟨,
- 69', Baggley B. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
- 72', Byrne J. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
- 73', Burke G. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
- 73', Mulraney J. ↓, Brennan A. ↑,
- 74', Leavy K. 🟨,
- 75', Healy M. 🟨,
- 76', Forrester C. 🟨,
- 79', Forrester C. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
- 79', Breslin A. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
- 81', Ozhianvuna V. ↓, Razi N. ↑,
- 82', Noonan M. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
- 84', O'Sullivan J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
41.3% | Draw
30.2% | Shamrock Rovers
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.39) |
3.1 ↑
(3.02) |
3.29 ↑
(3.06) |
6.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Shamrock will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Boyce R.
(Knee Injury)
Elbouzedi Z.
(Hamstring Injury)
Power S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D.
(Injury)
Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mandroiu D.
(Inactive)
Watts D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in St Patricks: Palmer R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Shamrock: Brennan A.
(Inactive)
Malley C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Shamrock Rovers?
St Patricks Athletic has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against St Patricks Athletic?
Shamrock Rovers has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
20.02.2026
Shamrock Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
2:0
17.10.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:0
19.05.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
4:0
18.04.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Shamrock Rovers
2:2
07.03.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 20:15 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Galway | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Derry City | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Waterford | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
