Result
1:0
17/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 34
- Referee: Doyle N. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV, Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two |
 United-kingdom | Virgin TV Go app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (281/328) | 89% (578/648) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (281/328) | 89% (578/648) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 29% (12/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (85/105) | 70% (85/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Melia M. 🟨,
- 25', Kavanagh S. 🟨,
- 30', Nugent D. 🟨,
- 34', Healy M. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Power S. ⚽, Baggley B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lennon J. 🟨,
- 52', Grivosti T. 🟨,
- 64', Kavanagh S. ↓, Gaffney R. ↑,
- 64', Healy M. ↓, Grace L. ↑,
- 65', Noonan M. ↓, Malley C. ↑,
- 79', Matthews A. 🟨,
- 80', Forrester C. ↓, Robinson D. ↑,
- 81', Kazeem A. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
- 81', Matthews A. ↓, McGovern J. ↑,
- 87', Malley C. 🟨,
- 87', Leavy K. ↓, Garrick J. ↑,
- 90', Nugent D. ↓, McEneff A. ↑,
- 90+4', Melia M. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 90+5', Power S. ↓, McLaughlin R. ↑,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
38% | Draw
31.8% | Shamrock Rovers
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.53) |
2.96 ↓
(2.97) |
3.08 ↑
(2.97) |
6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shamrock will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- St Patricks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Shoulder Injury)
Palmer R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Shamrock: Grace L.
(Injury)
Honohan J.
(Inactive)
Kovalevskis M.
(International duty)
Lopes R.
(International duty)
Noonan A.
(International duty)
Noonan M.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in St Patricks: Breslin A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hoare S.
(Leg Injury)
Keena A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:38. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Shamrock Rovers?
St Patricks Athletic has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against St Patricks Athletic?
Shamrock Rovers has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
19.05.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
4:0
18.04.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Shamrock Rovers
2:2
07.03.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
27.09.2024
Shamrock Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:3
13.06.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Shamrock Rovers
2:1
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 53:29 | 24 | 63 |
| 2 | Derry City | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 57 |
| 3 | Shelbourne | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 55 |
| 4 | St. Patricks | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 42:32 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42:35 | 7 | 51 |
| 6 | Drogheda | 35 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 51 |
| 7 | Galway | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 36:42 | -6 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 40:59 | -19 | 38 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 39:52 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Cork City ✔ | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32:59 | -27 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cork City is Relegated to Division 1
