Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

19/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tallaght Stadium (Dublin).

: Premier Division - Round 24

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	2.06
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
18	19
Shots on target
10	7
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
7	9
Passes
86% (418/486)	84% (276/329)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02	2.06
xG on target (xGOT)
3.38	1.84
Total shots
18	19
Shots on target
10	7
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
4	7
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
10	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
7	9
Touches in opposition box
16	24
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
12	7
Passes
86% (418/486)	84% (276/329)
Long passes
49% (33/68)	35% (11/31)
Passes in final third
67% (56/84)	78% (91/117)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.34	1.18
Throw-ins
11	10
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
76% (13/17)	44% (7/16)
Duels won
43	37
Clearances
17	25
Interceptions
10	2
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
7	6
xGOT faced
1.84	3.38
Goals prevented
1.84	-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Noonan M. ⚽, Burke G. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Burke G. ⚽, Grace L. (A),
38', Lennon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Burke G. ⚽, Grant D. (A),
56', Keena A. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
56', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
60', Redmond J. 🟨,
61', Grace L. ↓, Clarke T. ↑,
68', Noonan M. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
68', Nugent D. ↓, Mandroiu D. ↑,
68', Byrne J. ↓, McEneff A. ↑,
68', Burke G. ↓, Watts D. ↑,
69', Baggley B. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
70', 4 - 0, Greene A. ⚽,
77', Kavanagh B. 🟨,
80', Kavanagh B. ↓, McLaughlin R. ↑,
81', Power S. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
88', Hoare S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Shamrock Rovers
51.8%

Draw
27%

St Patricks Athletic
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	4.43 ↑ (4.13)	6.9% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic?

Users Predictions: Shamrock Rovers will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shamrock Rovers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 1.
Shamrock is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
St Patricks has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Shamrock is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D. (Injury) Kavanagh S. (Knock)
There will not play in St Patricks: Forrester C. (Injury) Palmer R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Shamrock: Robertson S. (Knock)
There are questionable in St Patricks: Leavy K. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:14. (average 2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against St Patricks Athletic?

Shamrock Rovers has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Shamrock Rovers?

St Patricks Athletic has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:

18.04.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers 2:2

07.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic 1:0

27.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic 0:3

13.06.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers 2:1

10.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic 2:2

Latest results of Shamrock Rovers

16.05.2025 Waterford United - Shamrock Rovers 1:3 ✺

09.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda United 3:0 ✺

05.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers 2:0 ✺

02.05.2025 Cork City - Shamrock Rovers 1:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne 2:2 ✺

Latest results of St Patricks Athletic

16.05.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Cork City 3:2 ✺

09.05.2025 Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic 2:1 ✺

05.05.2025 Derry City - St Patricks Athletic 1:0 ✺

02.05.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Galway United 2:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Bohemians Dublin - St Patricks Athletic 2:1 ✺

Irish Premier Division Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	24	14	6	4	42:21	21	48
2	Derry City	22	11	4	7	28:22	6	37
3	Bohemians	22	12	1	9	27:22	5	37
4	Drogheda	24	8	11	5	28:25	3	35
5	Shelbourne	24	7	11	6	27:26	1	32
6	St. Patricks	24	8	7	9	27:27	0	31
7	Galway	22	7	8	7	27:26	1	29
8	Waterford	22	8	3	11	24:35	-11	27
9	Sligo Rovers	22	5	4	13	26:37	-11	19
10	Cork City	22	2	9	11	23:38	-15	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Premier Division (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic?

It is being streamed on channel


Ireland	LOI TV