Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        21/09/2025 at  07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Super League - Round 25
- Referee: Wang Z. (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  China | Migu, QQ Sports | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.62 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 62% | 38% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (479/561) | 77% (256/331) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 4 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.62 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.50 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 9 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 6 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 18 | 26 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 17 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (479/561) | 77% (256/331) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 40% (16/40) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 69% (82/119) | 57% (42/74) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 27% (6/22) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.69 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 18 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 17 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 36% (5/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 58 | 46 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 28 | 25 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 10 | 3 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.26 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.50 | -0.74 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Zhang Xiaobin 🟨, 
- 40', Yu Rui 🟨, 
- 45', Liao Lisheng ↓, Zhang Yudong ↑, 
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Ademi A. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Tiago Leonco ↓, Orr M. ↑, 
- 66', Yang Fan ↓, Wang Xianjun ↑, 
- 66', Wang Qiuming ↓, Guo Hao ↑, 
- 76', Jiang Zhipeng 🟨, 
- 78', Ademi A. ↓, Liu J. ↑, 
- 87', Sun Ming-Him ↓, Yang Zihao ↑, 
- 87', Xadas ↓, Shi Yan ↑, 
- 88', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Abduweli Behram ↑, 
- 90+4', Abduweli Behram 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 48.7%
 | Draw 26.8%
 | Shenzhen Peng City 24.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.96 ↑ (1.81)
 | 3.51 ↓ (3.93)
 | 3.86 ↓ (4.17)
 | 5.5% (4.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win 
                    (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 13).
- In recent matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shenzhen Peng City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Zhang Yujie
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Salvador C.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Shenzhen Peng City?
                    
                    
                        
                            Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen Peng City won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
                    
                    
                        
                             Shenzhen Peng City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City were as follows:
                                                        
                                01.05.2025 
                                Shenzhen Peng City 
                                - 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.06.2024 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                - 
                                Shenzhen Peng City 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                10.03.2024 
                                Shenzhen Peng City 
                                - 
                                Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 
                                0:4
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Shenzhen Peng City                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Chinese Super League Table
2025|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 68:44 | 24 | 60 | 
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 58:25 | 33 | 59 | 
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63:34 | 29 | 58 | 
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 60:45 | 15 | 51 | 
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 62:44 | 18 | 47 | 
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 44 | 
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 58:46 | 12 | 41 | 
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:51 | -6 | 38 | 
| 9 | Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 | 
| 10 | Dalian Yingbo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 28:42 | -14 | 35 | 
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 33 | 
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 34:57 | -23 | 26 | 
| 13 | Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:56 | -23 | 25 | 
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 32:46 | -14 | 21 | 
| 15 | Meizhou Hakka | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:64 | -31 | 20 | 
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 | 
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ League One