Shenzhen Peng City vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Result
1:0
01/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.41
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (293/371)84% (380/450)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.10
Total shots
913
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
79% (293/371)84% (380/450)
Long passes
38% (25/66)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)67% (67/100)
Crosses
23% (6/26)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.41
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
1010
Tackles
62% (13/21)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2926
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.101.61
Goals prevented
0.100.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Xie Weijun 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Dugalic R. , Kartsev E. (A),
  • 45', Salvador C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Xie Weijun , Wang Qiuming ,
  • 46', Li Yongjia , Quiles A. ,
  • 46', Wang Zhenghao , Xadas ,
  • 55', Zhang Yudong , Sarkaria M. ,
  • 59', Garcia E. , Orr M. ,
  • 60', Yang Zihao , Ademi A. ,
  • 67', Jiang Zhipeng 🟨,
  • 75', Jiang Zhipeng , Li Zhi ,
  • 75', Abduweli Behram , Zhang Yujie ,
  • 77', Guo Hao , Liu J. ,
  • 89', Zhang Yujie 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ji J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ademi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Shenzhen Peng City
41.6%
Draw
28.7%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 26.3% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 26.6% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (3.18)
    3.31
    (3.58)
    3.16
    (2.13)
    4.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
    • Shenzhen Peng City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
    • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Ademi A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7 (average 0:3.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City 3:0
    10.03.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0:4
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Shenhua22154349:252449
    2Shanghai Port22146252:282448
    3Chengdu Rongcheng22145344:172747
    4Beijing Guoan21136247:262145
    5Shandong Taishan22114745:351037
    6Zhejiang Professional2397746:361034
    7Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2397730:32-234
    8Yunnan Yukun2285934:43-929
    9Dalian Yingbo2285921:32-1129
    10Qingdao West Coast2269729:34-527
    11Henan Songshan Longmen22641237:40-322
    12Wuhan Three Towns21561027:38-1121
    13Meizhou Hakka22451328:47-1917
    14Shenzhen Xinpengcheng22521526:50-2417
    15Qingdao Hainiu22361320:34-1415
    16Changchun Yatai22431518:36-1815

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          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League