Changchun Xidu vs Shenzhen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.98
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
80% (330/412)73% (205/282)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.281.72
Total shots
511
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
80% (330/412)73% (205/282)
Long passes
48% (32/66)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
61% (54/88)55% (51/93)
Crosses
44% (7/16)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.88
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1716
Tackles
85% (11/13)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3135
Clearances
2017
Interceptions
811
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.720.28
Goals prevented
-1.280.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Chen W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Nurlan Nurzat , Huang Wenzhuo ,
  • 46', Sun Fei , Xu Zhaoji ,
  • 46', Zhao Ran , Li Xin ,
  • 46', 0 - 1, Li L. , Huang Z. (A),
  • 51', Huang Wenzhuo 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Li L. , Zhong Wen (A),
  • 55', Wang Zhiyuan , Jiang W. ,
  • 63', Li Xin 🟨,
  • 64', He Youzu , Musajan Musajan ,
  • 73', Chen Z. 🟨,
  • 77', Qin Wanzhun , Erlan Ghulaht ,
  • 77', 0 - 3, Zhong Wen , Jiang W. (A),
  • 78', Erkin Ababekri 🟨,
  • 83', Li L. , Lu C. ,
  • 83', Chen W. , Hu H. ,
  • 84', Ma Bokang 🟨,
  • 88', Zhong Wen , Shi Z. ,
  • 88', Li Mingjie , Liu Q. ,
  • 89', Xu Zhaoji 🟨,

Chances of winning


Changchun Xidu
25.9%
Draw
30.3%
Shenzhen
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 30.1% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 28.8% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (3.12)
    3.01
    (3.01)
    2.08
    (2.22)
    9.7%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Shenzhen (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Shenzhen - Changchun Xidu 0:0
    Latest results of Changchun Xidu
    Latest results of Shenzhen
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B11006:153
    2Taian Tiankuang11003:123
    3Lanzhou Longyuan11001:013
    4Qingdao Red Lions10101:101
    5Changchun Xidu10101:101
    6Nantong Haimen10100:001
    7Shanxi Chongde Ronghai10100:001
    8Dalian Yingbo B10100:001
    9Dalian Kewei10100:001
    10Beijing Technology10010:1-10
    11Shandong Taishan B10011:3-20
    12Shanghai Second10011:6-50


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xiamen Feilu11002:023
    2Hubei Istar11001:013
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B11001:013
    4Jiangxi Lushan10102:201
    5Hangzhou Linping10102:201
    6Shenzhen10101:101
    7Wuhan Three Towns B10101:101
    8Ganzhou Ruishi10100:001
    9Guangdong Mingtu10100:001
    10Wenzhou Professional10010:1-10
    11Guangzhou Dandelion10010:1-10
    12Guizhou Guiyang10010:2-20

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