Result
0:3
28/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Promotion Group - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (330/412) | 73% (205/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (330/412) | 73% (205/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/88) | 55% (51/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Chen W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Nurlan Nurzat ↓, Huang Wenzhuo ↑,
- 46', Sun Fei ↓, Xu Zhaoji ↑,
- 46', Zhao Ran ↓, Li Xin ↑,
- 46', 0 - 1, Li L. ⚽, Huang Z. (A),
- 51', Huang Wenzhuo 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 2, Li L. ⚽, Zhong Wen (A),
- 55', Wang Zhiyuan ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
- 63', Li Xin 🟨,
- 64', He Youzu ↓, Musajan Musajan ↑,
- 73', Chen Z. 🟨,
- 77', Qin Wanzhun ↓, Erlan Ghulaht ↑,
- 77', 0 - 3, Zhong Wen ⚽, Jiang W. (A),
- 78', Erkin Ababekri 🟨,
- 83', Li L. ↓, Lu C. ↑,
- 83', Chen W. ↓, Hu H. ↑,
- 84', Ma Bokang 🟨,
- 88', Zhong Wen ↓, Shi Z. ↑,
- 88', Li Mingjie ↓, Liu Q. ↑,
- 89', Xu Zhaoji 🟨,
Chances of winning
Changchun Xidu
25.9% | Draw
30.3% | Shenzhen
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Xidu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Shenzhen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Xidu than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(3.12) |
3.01
(3.01) |
2.04 ↓
(2.22) |
9.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Changchun Xidu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Changchun Xidu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Xidu won against Shenzhen?
Changchun Xidu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shenzhen won against Changchun Xidu?
Shenzhen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Xidu - Shenzhen were as follows:
23.08.2025
Shenzhen
-
Changchun Xidu
0:0
Latest results of Changchun Xidu
Latest results of Shenzhen
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 58:15 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 38:16 | 22 | 58 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 43 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
