Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (416/516) | 76% (313/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (416/516) | 76% (313/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/70) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (103/160) | 57% (54/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Inui T. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
- 31', Yamahara R. 🟨,
- 39', Ohara M. 🟨,
- 40', Takahashi T. 🟨,
- 44', Yumiba M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Yumiba M. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 57', Nakahara H. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
- 65', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 65', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 76', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
- 83', Horigome Y. 🟨,
- 84', Yamahara R. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
- 84', Takahashi T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 86', Boudah A. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 86', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 90+8', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
36.4% | Draw
28.6% | Shimizu S-Pulse
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.85) |
3.3 ↓
(3.32) |
2.67 ↑
(2.42) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Shimizu will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 2 - 50%). Shimizu (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Niigata (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Niigata (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shimizu (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
- Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Kitagawa K.
(Yellow Cards)
Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Albirex Niigata?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
22.02.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
