Albirex Niigata vs Shimizu S-Pulse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.65
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (416/516)76% (313/411)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.160.93
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
915
Passes
81% (416/516)76% (313/411)
Long passes
36% (25/70)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
64% (103/160)57% (54/94)
Crosses
40% (8/20)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.99
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1610
Tackles
45% (5/11)33% (3/9)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
1934
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.930.16
Goals prevented
-0.070.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Inui T. , Yamahara R. (A),
  • 31', Yamahara R. 🟨,
  • 39', Ohara M. 🟨,
  • 40', Takahashi T. 🟨,
  • 44', Yumiba M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Yumiba M. , Yajima S. ,
  • 57', Nakahara H. , Matsuzaki K. ,
  • 65', Ohara M. , Okumura J. ,
  • 65', Moraes , Shimamura T. ,
  • 76', Arai T. , Uemura H. ,
  • 83', Horigome Y. 🟨,
  • 84', Yamahara R. , Takagi S. ,
  • 84', Takahashi T. , Chiba K. ,
  • 86', Boudah A. , Taniguchi K. ,
  • 86', Horigome Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 90+8', Yoshida Y. , Kitazume K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
36.4%
Draw
28.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.3% 38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 28.6% 39.2%

Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.62
(2.85)
3.3
(3.32)
2.67
(2.42)
5.9%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Shimizu will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 2 - 50%). Shimizu (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Niigata (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Niigata (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shimizu (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
    • Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Kitagawa K. (Yellow Cards) Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kawasaki Frontale110005:33
    2Verdy110003:13
    3Urawa Reds110002:03
    4Machida110003:23
    5FC Tokyo101002:12
    6Kashima Antlers100101:21
    7Yokohama F. Marinos100012:30
    8Kashiwa Reysol100013:50
    9Mito100011:30
    10Chiba100010:20


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Sanfrecce Hiroshima110003:13
    2Nagoya Grampus110001:03
    3Avispa Fukuoka101002:12
    4Vissel Kobe101002:12
    5Gamba Osaka101001:02
    6Kyoto100101:21
    7Okayama100101:21
    8Cerezo Osaka100100:11
    9Shimizu S-Pulse100010:10
    10V-Varen Nagasaki100011:30

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)