Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (416/516) | 76% (313/411) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (416/516) | 76% (313/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/70) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (103/160) | 57% (54/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Inui T. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
- 31', Yamahara R. 🟨,
- 39', Ohara M. 🟨,
- 40', Takahashi T. 🟨,
- 44', Yumiba M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Yumiba M. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 57', Nakahara H. ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
- 65', Ohara M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
- 65', Moraes ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
- 76', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
- 83', Horigome Y. 🟨,
- 84', Yamahara R. ↓, Takagi S. ↑,
- 84', Takahashi T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 86', Boudah A. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 86', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 90+8', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
36.4% | Draw
28.6% | Shimizu S-Pulse
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.85) |
3.3 ↓
(3.32) |
2.67 ↑
(2.42) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Shimizu will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 2 - 50%). Shimizu (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
- Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Shimizu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Kitagawa K.
(Yellow Cards)
Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Albirex Niigata?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
22.02.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 43:27 | 16 | 60 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 57 |
| 5 | Machida | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:33 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 52 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 49:47 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Okayama | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 28:34 | -6 | 40 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 35:45 | -10 | 40 |
| 14 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 15 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 37 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 21:36 | -15 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
