Result
2:1 penalties
11/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (348/456) | 70% (241/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 20 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (348/456) | 70% (241/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 33% (25/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (114/172) | 52% (47/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.69 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Germain R. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
- 58', Arslan T. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
- 62', Hasukawa S. ↓, Yoshida Y. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Kitazume K. (A),
- 74', 1 - 1, Kinoshita K. ⚽,
- 76', Nakano S. ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 76', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
- 78', Hidaka H. ↓, Ohata R. ↑,
- 78', Inoue K. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 85', Nakajima Y. 🟨,
- 88', Kawabe H. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
- 89', Brunetti M. ↓, Hariu R. ↑,
- 90', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Stephens A. ↑,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Oh Se-Hun (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Suzuki A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Matheus Bueno (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Nakamura S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Stephens A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Higashi S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kozuka K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nakajima Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Uno Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57.7% | Draw
24.8% | Shimizu S-Pulse
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanfrecce Hiroshima's form might have worsened.Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.5) |
3.78 ↓
(4.41) |
5.34 ↓
(6.15) |
6.4%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 35.9% – 97.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 2.
- Hiroshima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shimizu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hiroshima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
- There are questionable in Hiroshima: Kim Ju-Sung
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
22.03.2026
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:1
10.08.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
0:0
06.08.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
3:0
26.02.2025
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:1
03.09.2022
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
2:0
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
