Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (490/563) | 79% (250/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (490/563) | 79% (250/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/36) | 30% (19/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (107/158) | 78% (78/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.25 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Miyaichi R. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Tsunoda R. ⚽, Kato R. (A),
- 23', Watanabe K. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 2, David D. ⚽, Watanabe K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tsunoda R. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
- 46', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
- 46', Yajima S. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 46', Hasukawa S. ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
- 61', Watanabe K. ↓, Jean Claude ↑,
- 61', David D. ↓, Tanimura K. ↑,
- 67', Kato R. 🟨,
- 70', Yamane R. 🟨,
- 76', Takahashi T. ↓, Stephens A. ↑,
- 77', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 78', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. ⚽, Jean Claude (A),
- 83', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 84', Inoue K. 🟨,
- 85', Matsubara K. ↓, Yamamura K. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
- 90+5', Yamahara R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
44.9% | Draw
25.8% | Yokohama F. Marinos
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.93) |
3.66 ↓
(3.75) |
3.2 ↓
(3.36) |
6.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Users Predictions:
Shimizu S-Pulse will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shimizu S-Pulse will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.
- Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Suzuki T.
(Yellow Cards)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
16.04.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
2:3
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
