Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (274/345) | 88% (594/677) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (274/345) | 88% (594/677) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (9/36) | 56% (24/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (56/81) | 80% (194/242) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 50% (13/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Takahashi T. ⚽, Matsuzaki K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 52', Inui T. 🟨,
- 57', Miyamoto K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 70', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
- 70', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 72', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 72', Chinen K. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
- 72', Ogawa R. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Ueda N. ⚽, Funabashi Y. (A),
- 76', Sumiyoshi J. 🟨,
- 81', Takahashi T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 81', Inui T. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 86', Elber ↓, Nono K. ↑,
- 88', Kozuka K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
31.3% | Draw
28% | Kashima Antlers
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.9) |
3.35 ↓
(3.45) |
2.32 ↓
(2.33) |
6.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Kashima (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Kashima (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 0.
- Shimizu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kashima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Brunetti M.
(Red Card)
Kim Min-Tae
(Yellow Cards)
Saito S.
(Inactive)
Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Shimizu: Capixaba
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 15:38. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashima Antlers?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
17.05.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
29.10.2022
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kashima Antlers
0:1
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
