Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (350/437) | 85% (447/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (350/437) | 85% (447/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (10/48) | 48% (15/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (72/98) | 72% (109/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Cavric A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Tagawa K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 62', Talles Brener ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 62', Chinen K. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
- 65', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
- 65', Inui T. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 66', Matsumura Y. 🟨,
- 73', Cavric A. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
- 76', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 77', Capixaba ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 77', Uno Z. ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
- 81', Hasukawa S. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
- 83', Funabashi Y. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers
42% | Draw
29.6% | Shimizu S-Pulse
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.04) |
3.23 ↓
(3.34) |
3.49 ↓
(3.66) |
5.2%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 5.
- Kashima is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Kashima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kashima: Sekigawa I.
(Inactive)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Concussion)
Yoshida Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:19. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashima Antlers?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
29.10.2022
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kashima Antlers
0:1
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
