Result
1:1
31/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.69 | 0.99 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
79% (274/345) | 88% (594/677) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.69 | 0.99 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.66 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 39 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
79% (274/345) | 88% (594/677) |
Long passes |
---|
25% (9/36) | 56% (24/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (56/81) | 80% (194/242) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 50% (13/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.60 | 2.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (5/8) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
40 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 1.66 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.17 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Takahashi T. ⚽, Matsuzaki K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 52', Inui T. 🟨,
- 57', Miyamoto K. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
- 70', Yoshida Y. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
- 70', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 72', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 72', Chinen K. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
- 72', Ogawa R. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Ueda N. ⚽, Funabashi Y. (A),
- 76', Sumiyoshi J. 🟨,
- 81', Takahashi T. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
- 81', Inui T. ↓, Kozuka K. ↑,
- 86', Elber ↓, Nono K. ↑,
- 88', Kozuka K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse 31.3% | Draw 28% | Kashima Antlers 40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.99 ↑ (2.9) |
3.35 ↓ (3.45) |
2.32 ↓ (2.33) |
6.5% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashima (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 0.
- Shimizu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kashima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Brunetti M.
(Red Card)
Kim Min-Tae
(Yellow Cards)
Saito S.
(Inactive)
Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Knee Injury)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- There are questionable in Shimizu: Capixaba
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 15:38. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Kashima Antlers?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
17.05.2025
Kashima Antlers
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
29.10.2022
Shimizu S-Pulse
-
Kashima Antlers
0:1
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Vissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 43:27 | 16 | 60 |
3 | Kyoto | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:33 | 21 | 56 |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 56 |
5 | Machida | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:33 | 15 | 55 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:45 | 3 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Okayama | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 28:34 | -6 | 40 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 40 |
14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 37 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
16 | Verdy | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 20:35 | -15 | 36 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:36 | -16 | 28 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:55 | -27 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League