Kashima Antlers vs Shimizu S-Pulse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.23
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
80% (350/437)85% (447/523)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.140.00
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
712
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1232
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
129
Passes
80% (350/437)85% (447/523)
Long passes
21% (10/48)48% (15/31)
Passes in final third
73% (72/98)72% (109/151)
Crosses
43% (3/7)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.23
Throw-ins
2328
Fouls
912
Tackles
79% (15/19)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4742
Clearances
238
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.14
Goals prevented
0.000.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. , Cavric A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Tagawa K. , Higuchi Y. ,
  • 62', Talles Brener , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 62', Chinen K. , Misao K. ,
  • 65', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 65', Inui T. , Yajima S. ,
  • 66', Matsumura Y. 🟨,
  • 73', Cavric A. , Tsukui K. ,
  • 76', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 77', Capixaba , Kozuka K. ,
  • 77', Uno Z. , Nishihara M. ,
  • 81', Hasukawa S. , Kitazume K. ,
  • 83', Funabashi Y. , Shibasaki G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
42%
Draw
29.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 28.2% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.3% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.04)
    3.23
    (3.34)
    3.49
    (3.66)
    5.2%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 5.
    • Kashima is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kashima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Sekigawa I. (Inactive) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Saito S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Concussion) Yoshida Y. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:19. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kashima won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League