Shinnik vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 7
  • Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
81
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
81
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
30
Corner Kicks
92
Free Kicks
612
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gurchenko D. , Puzanov S. ,
  • 58', Morozov K. , Tarba Z. ,
  • 61', Malakhov A. , Kosogorov A. ,
  • 62', Bozov N. 🟨,
  • 69', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 72', Golubev A. , Porokhov I. ,
  • 72', Gongapshev A. , Shipunov T. ,
  • 78', Rodionov I. , Gorelov P. ,
  • 79', Antonov A. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 84', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 84', Kul R. , Martovoy D. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Mironov D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shinnik
35.7%
Draw
31.3%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 31.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 30.4% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.89)
    3.03
    (3)
    2.88
    (2.58)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Shinnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chernomorets is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:2
    03.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 0:1
    18.03.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 1:0
    09.09.2023 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Shinnik
    23.08.2025 Shinnik - Rodina Moscow 1:1
    02.08.2025 Ufa - Shinnik 1:0
    25.07.2025 Arsenal Tula - Shinnik 1:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1384121:12928
    2Fakel Voronezh1383212:8427
    3Ural1273220:101024
    4Chelyabinsk1264218:10822
    5R. Volgograd1364318:71122
    6Rodina Moscow1355319:13620
    7Kamaz1254316:13319
    8SKA Khabarovsk1354415:14119
    9Neftekhimik1346313:13018
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1345410:10017
    11Arsenal Tula1336418:16215
    12Chernomorets Novorossijsk1343618:17115
    13Ulyanovsk1333713:23-1012
    14Ufa1326513:14-112
    15Yenisey122467:14-710
    16Saratov131666:14-89
    17Torpedo Moscow132388:20-129
    18FK Chayka131579:26-178

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