Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Shinnik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 21
  • Referee: Sidorin A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
74
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
49
Free Kicks
1310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Antonov A. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Antonov A. ,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Kornyushin D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodionov I. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 56', Antonov A. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 57', Zhigulev I. , Syshchenko M. ,
  • 59', Shipunov T. , Gongapshev A. ,
  • 81', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 82', Aliev S. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 86', Kukharchuk I. 🟨,
  • 88', Malakhov A. , Porokhov I. ,
  • 90+1', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
37.9%
Draw
32.8%
Shinnik
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.5% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 31% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.27)
    2.88
    (3.13)
    3.22
    (3.48)
    6%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Shinnik has had a series of home games.
    • Chernomorets will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:0
    03.05.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:2
    03.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 0:1
    18.03.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 1:0
    09.09.2023 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Shinnik
    23.11.2025 Shinnik - Sokol Saratov 0:0
    09.11.2025 Rotor - Shinnik 3:0
    01.11.2025 Shinnik - Chelyabinsk 1:0
    25.10.2025 Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma 2:2
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

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