Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Shinnik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 21
  • Referee: Sidorin A. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
74
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
49
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
74
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
49
Free Kicks
1310

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Antonov A. ,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Antonov A. ,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Kornyushin D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodionov I. , Krachkovskii A. ,
  • 56', Antonov A. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 57', Zhigulev I. , Syshchenko M. ,
  • 59', Shipunov T. , Gongapshev A. ,
  • 81', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 82', Aliev S. , Pomeshkin K. ,
  • 86', Kukharchuk I. 🟨,
  • 88', Malakhov A. , Porokhov I. ,
  • 90+1', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
37.9%
Draw
32.8%
Shinnik
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.5% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 31% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.27)
    2.88
    (3.13)
    3.22
    (3.48)
    6%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Shinnik has had a series of home games.
    • Chernomorets will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:0
    03.05.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:2
    03.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 0:1
    18.03.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 1:0
    09.09.2023 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Shinnik
    23.11.2025 Shinnik - Sokol Saratov 0:0
    09.11.2025 Rotor - Shinnik 3:0
    01.11.2025 Shinnik - Chelyabinsk 1:0
    25.10.2025 Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma 2:2
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh22163330:111951
    2Ural22125530:191141
    3Rodina Moscow22109330:171339
    4S. Kostroma2298531:25635
    5Chelyabinsk2298528:20835
    6Kamaz2289537:251233
    7SKA Khabarovsk2288624:22232
    8R. Volgograd2287725:18731
    9Neftekhimik22710527:24331
    10Arsenal Tula22611530:26429
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl2268819:21-226
    12Yenisey2259815:26-1124
    13Torpedo Moscow22661019:29-1024
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk22661025:29-424
    15Ulyanovsk22651125:35-1023
    16Ufa22481024:31-720
    17Saratov222101010:23-1316
    18FK Chayka22261419:47-2812

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