Shinnik vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 7
  • Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
81
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
81
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
30
Corner Kicks
92
Free Kicks
612
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gurchenko D. , Puzanov S. ,
  • 58', Morozov K. , Tarba Z. ,
  • 61', Malakhov A. , Kosogorov A. ,
  • 62', Bozov N. 🟨,
  • 69', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 72', Golubev A. , Porokhov I. ,
  • 72', Gongapshev A. , Shipunov T. ,
  • 78', Rodionov I. , Gorelov P. ,
  • 79', Antonov A. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 84', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 84', Kul R. , Martovoy D. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Mironov D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shinnik
35.7%
Draw
31.3%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 31.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 30.4% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.89)
    3.03
    (3)
    2.88
    (2.58)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Shinnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chernomorets is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:2
    03.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 0:1
    18.03.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 1:0
    09.09.2023 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Shinnik
    23.08.2025 Shinnik - Rodina Moscow 1:1
    02.08.2025 Ufa - Shinnik 1:0
    25.07.2025 Arsenal Tula - Shinnik 1:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh16103317:9833
    2Ural1593324:16830
    3S. Kostroma1686224:16830
    4Rodina Moscow1575323:14926
    5Kamaz1675428:171126
    6Chelyabinsk1567220:12825
    7R. Volgograd1574420:11925
    8SKA Khabarovsk1665516:16023
    9Neftekhimik1647518:20-219
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1647512:13-119
    11Yenisey1645712:21-917
    12Arsenal Tula1638523:22117
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk1645719:20-117
    14Ufa1637618:20-216
    15Ulyanovsk1643917:28-1115
    16Saratov162869:16-714
    17Torpedo Moscow1635813:24-1114
    18FK Chayka1625914:32-1811

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