Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 21
- Referee: Sidorin A. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Antonov A. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Antonov A. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 1, Kornyushin D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rodionov I. ↓, Krachkovskii A. ↑,
- 56', Antonov A. ↓, Kukharchuk I. ↑,
- 57', Zhigulev I. ↓, Syshchenko M. ↑,
- 59', Shipunov T. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
- 81', Samoilov D. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
- 82', Aliev S. ↓, Pomeshkin K. ↑,
- 86', Kukharchuk I. 🟨,
- 88', Malakhov A. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
- 90+1', Puzanov S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
37.9% | Draw
32.8% | Shinnik
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.27) |
2.88 ↓
(3.13) |
3.22 ↓
(3.48) |
6%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shinnik (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Shinnik has had a series of home games.
- Chernomorets will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chernomorets Novorossiysk won against Shinnik?
Chernomorets Novorossiysk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shinnik won against Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
Shinnik has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik were as follows:
30.08.2025
Shinnik
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
1:0
03.05.2025
Shinnik
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
0:2
03.11.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Shinnik
0:1
18.03.2024
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
-
Shinnik
1:0
09.09.2023
Shinnik
-
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
2:1
Latest results of Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Latest results of Shinnik
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 34:13 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 45:23 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Ural | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Kamaz | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Chelyabinsk | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Yenisey | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Neftekhimik | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 36 |
| 11 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | Torpedo Moscow | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | SKA Khabarovsk | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Ufa | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 26:63 | -37 | 19 |
| 18 | Saratov | 28 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 12:36 | -24 | 16 |
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Relegation
