Shkendija Tetovo vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
1:1
06/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kapraly M. (Hun)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.39
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
67% (170/253)84% (468/554)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.730.33
Total shots
78
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
618
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2316
Passes
67% (170/253)84% (468/554)
Long passes
42% (25/59)47% (17/36)
Passes in final third
52% (33/64)75% (119/159)
Crosses
25% (2/8)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.99
Throw-ins
1327
Fouls
1623
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (9/18)
Duels won
5056
Clearances
2410
Interceptions
215
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.330.73
Goals prevented
-0.67-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 44', Zejnullai A. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Latifi L. ⚽, Webster R. (A),
  • 50', Alhassan A. 🟨,
  • 54', Drachal D. ↓, Imaz J. ↑,
  • 54', Prip L. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
  • 54', Flach L. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
  • 63', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
  • 68', Latifi L. ↓, Ibraimi B. ↑,
  • 68', Alhassan A. ↓, Qaka K. ↑,
  • 74', Ibraimi B. 🟨,
  • 76', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
  • 76', Romanczuk T. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
  • 86', Imaz J. 🟨,
  • 86', Qaka K. 🟨,
  • 89', Spahiu S. ↓, Murati M. ↑,
  • 89', Tamba F. ↓, Mazari A. ↑,
  • 90+6', Imaz J. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 1 - 1, Lozano S. ⚽, Jackson A. (A),

Chances of winning


Shkendija Tetovo
22.7%		Draw
26.7%		Jagiellonia Białystok
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 28.1% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29% 27.4% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shkendija Tetovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shkendija Tetovo's form might have worsened.
  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkendija Tetovo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shkendija Tetovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Shkendija Tetovo - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.09 ↑
    (3.14)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.33)    		 1.88 ↓
    (2.22)    		 5.6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Shkendija Tetovo - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Shkendija (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Jagiellonia Białystok will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Shkendija (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Jagiellonia (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - National Arena Toshe Proeski.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Shkendija may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jagiellonia is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Abramowicz S. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shkendija: Krstevski V. (Calf Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Shkendija Tetovo
    31.10.2025 AP Brera Strumica - Shkendija Tetovo 2:3
    27.10.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Vardar 0:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Shkendija Tetovo - Shelbourne 1:0 ✺
    06.10.2025 Pelister - Shkendija Tetovo 0:0 ✺
    02.10.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Tetovo 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    02.11.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Raków Częstochowa 1:2 ✺
    30.10.2025 Miedź Legnica - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:3 ✺
    26.10.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1 ✺
    23.10.2025 Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1 ✺
    18.10.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia 4:0 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 2
    2Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)1 : 0
    3Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)1 : 1
    4Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)0 : 3
    5Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 1
    6Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)1 : 1
    8Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)0 : 1
    9Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    10Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    11AEK Athens (3)Bye
    12Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    13Mainz (7)Bye
    14AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    15Strasbourg (1)Bye
    16Rakow (2)Bye
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