Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	4.48
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
10	25
Shots on target
7	14
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
5	9
Passes
75% (198/265)	86% (482/563)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	4.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.55	4.66
Total shots
10	25
Shots on target
7	14
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
6	20
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	2
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
5	9
Touches in opposition box
16	39
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
7	9
Passes
75% (198/265)	86% (482/563)
Long passes
41% (22/54)	52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
64% (58/91)	75% (153/203)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	33% (12/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	1.83
Throw-ins
19	22
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
56% (5/9)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
31	46
Clearances
43	16
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
9	3
xGOT faced
4.66	1.55
Goals prevented
-0.34	-2.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Nitta R. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
38', 2 - 0, Hiraoka T. ⚽,
39', Tachi K. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Fukuoka S. ⚽, Hatsuse R. (A),
45', Tachi K. 🟥,
45+4', 3 - 1, Oda Y. ⚽, Hiraoka T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Kurokawa K. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
49', 3 - 2, Mito R. ⚽,
53', 3 - 3, Nakatani S. ⚽, Hatsuse R. (A),
62', Nitta R. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
72', Ishibashi S. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
72', Ze Ricardo ↓, Barada A. ↑,
72', Mito R. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
81', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
82', Oda Y. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
82', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
82', Mitsuta M. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
88', 3 - 4, Juan Alano ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
90', Hatsuse R. ↓, Miura G. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 5, Yamashita R. ⚽,
90+10', 4 - 5, Oiwa K. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
90+11', Juan Alano 🟨,
90+11', Suzuki Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
25.8%

Draw
27.2%

Gamba Osaka
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

28.4%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.9%

42.7%

Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.35)	3.46 ↑ (3.33)	2.02 ↓ (2.18)	5.8% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gamba Osaka will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Suzuki A. (Yellow Cards) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Mitsuta M. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Gamba Osaka?

Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Shonan Bellmare?

Gamba Osaka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka were as follows:

03.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 4:0

21.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 3:2

20.07.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 0:1

01.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 1:2

19.08.2023 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 2:1

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

23.08.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 2:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

23.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama FC 3:2 ✺

20.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 0:3 ✺

02.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Reims 1:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League