Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.56	1.60
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
77% (255/333)	86% (553/641)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56	1.60
xG on target (xGOT)
3.18	0.98
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
23	32
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
10	11
Passes
77% (255/333)	86% (553/641)
Long passes
49% (26/53)	44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
66% (52/79)	75% (138/184)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.41	1.23
Throw-ins
12	22
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
62% (8/13)	100% (9/9)
Duels won
38	41
Clearances
41	12
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.98	3.18
Goals prevented
0.98	-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Hummet D. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
13', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Kishimoto T. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
35', 4 - 0, Nakatani S. ⚽, Handa R. (A),
40', Ono K. ↓, Fujii T. ↑,
40', Oiwa K. 🟨,
43', Onose K. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
45+1', Usami T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mitsuta M. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
46', Suzuki Y. ↓, Kim Min-Tae ↑,
50', Nakatani S. 🟨,
60', Juan Alano ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
60', Usami T. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
69', Ikeda M. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
69', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
72', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
82', Handa R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
43%

Draw
29.3%

Shonan Bellmare
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

28.7%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)	3.21 ↓ (3.26)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	6.1% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
Gamba Osaka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shonan Bellmare has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gamba Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Inactive) Welton (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Shonan Bellmare?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Gamba Osaka?

Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:

21.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 3:2

20.07.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 0:1

01.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 1:2

19.08.2023 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 2:1

01.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 4:1

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

29.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka 1:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

29.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

09.04.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Shonan Bellmare 1:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
2	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
3	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
4	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
6	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League