Result
4:5
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 4.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (198/265) | 86% (482/563) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 4.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 4.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (198/265) | 86% (482/563) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 52% (27/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/91) | 75% (153/203) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 33% (12/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.66 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -2.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Nitta R. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Hiraoka T. ⚽,
- 39', Tachi K. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 1, Fukuoka S. ⚽, Hatsuse R. (A),
- 45', Tachi K. 🟥,
- 45+4', 3 - 1, Oda Y. ⚽, Hiraoka T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Kurokawa K. ↓, Usami T. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 2, Mito R. ⚽,
- 53', 3 - 3, Nakatani S. ⚽, Hatsuse R. (A),
- 62', Nitta R. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
- 72', Ishibashi S. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
- 72', Ze Ricardo ↓, Barada A. ↑,
- 72', Mito R. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 81', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
- 82', Oda Y. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 82', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 82', Mitsuta M. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 4, Juan Alano ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
- 90', Hatsuse R. ↓, Miura G. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 5, Yamashita R. ⚽,
- 90+10', 4 - 5, Oiwa K. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
- 90+11', Juan Alano 🟨,
- 90+11', Suzuki Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
25.8% | Draw
27.2% | Gamba Osaka
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.65 ↑
(3.35) |
3.46 ↑
(3.33) |
2.02 ↓
(2.18) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 44.1% – 94.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Shonan Bellmare (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.25 - Gamba Osaka (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Shonan Bellmare (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gamba Osaka will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 4 - 25%). Gamba Osaka (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Suzuki A.
(Yellow Cards)
Takahashi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Mitsuta M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Gamba Osaka?
Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Shonan Bellmare?
Gamba Osaka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
03.05.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Shonan Bellmare
4:0
21.08.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Shonan Bellmare
3:2
20.07.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:1
01.06.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Gamba Osaka
1:2
19.08.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:1
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
