Shonan Bellmare vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka
Result
4:5
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.994.48
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1025
Shots on target
714
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
59
Passes
75% (198/265)86% (482/563)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.994.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.554.66
Total shots
1025
Shots on target
714
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
620
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
59
Touches in opposition box
1639
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
79
Passes
75% (198/265)86% (482/563)
Long passes
41% (22/54)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
64% (58/91)75% (153/203)
Crosses
21% (3/14)33% (12/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.83
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
108
Tackles
56% (5/9)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3146
Clearances
4316
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
93
xGOT faced
4.661.55
Goals prevented
-0.34-2.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Nitta R. , Onose K. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 0, Hiraoka T. ,
  • 39', Tachi K. 🟨,
  • 40', 2 - 1, Fukuoka S. , Hatsuse R. (A),
  • 45', Tachi K. 🟥,
  • 45+4', 3 - 1, Oda Y. , Hiraoka T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Kurokawa K. , Usami T. ,
  • 49', 3 - 2, Mito R. ,
  • 53', 3 - 3, Nakatani S. , Hatsuse R. (A),
  • 62', Nitta R. , Oiwa K. ,
  • 72', Ishibashi S. , Okuno H. ,
  • 72', Ze Ricardo , Barada A. ,
  • 72', Mito R. , Jebali I. ,
  • 81', Hiraoka T. , Ishii H. ,
  • 82', Oda Y. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 82', Abe S. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 82', Mitsuta M. , Yamashita R. ,
  • 88', 3 - 4, Juan Alano , Jebali I. (A),
  • 90', Hatsuse R. , Miura G. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 5, Yamashita R. ,
  • 90+10', 4 - 5, Oiwa K. , Onose K. (A),
  • 90+11', Juan Alano 🟨,
  • 90+11', Suzuki Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
25.8%
Draw
27.2%
Gamba Osaka
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 28.4% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 28.9% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.65
    (3.35)
    3.46
    (3.33)
    2.02
    (2.18)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Gamba Osaka will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Suzuki A. (Yellow Cards) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Mitsuta M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 4:0
    21.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 3:2
    20.07.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    01.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    19.08.2023 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 2:1
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe35188945:301562
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Avispa Fukuoka3511111333:37-444
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    14Verdy351191522:36-1442
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare35682129:59-3026
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 354112032:58-2623

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League