Result
2:1 penalties
04/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽, Nishino T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fujii T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 46', Shimoguchi W. ↓, Matsumura S. ↑,
- 46', Kawata S. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 1, Yamada H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Nagai T. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
- 62', Meshino S. ↓, Tsutsumi H. ↑,
- 64', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
- 64', Ishii H. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
- 69', Uchida K. ↓, Iwasaki H. ↑,
- 73', Okuno H. 🟨,
- 78', Nakano K. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
- 78', Nishino T. ↓, Aoshima T. ↑,
- 79', Yamada H. 🟨,
- 80', Suzuki Y. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
- Penalties (6 - 5)
- 1, Kondo Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Watanabe K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Sugimori K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Yamada H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Iwasaki H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Ota S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Tsutsumi H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Takeda S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Yanagi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Okuno H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Tabata R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
54.7% | Draw
24.8% | Tochigi
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-1%)
Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.67) |
3.71 ↓
(3.9) |
4.47 ↓
(4.49) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- Shonan Bellmare is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Tochigi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Shonan Bellmare is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Shonan Bellmare will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Tochigi?
Shonan Bellmare has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi won against Shonan Bellmare?
Tochigi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi were as follows:
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Tochigi
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Tochigi City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 10 | Kusatsu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:27 | 7 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Iwaki | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kofu | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24:15 | 19 |
| 4 | Yamaga | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 6 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 7 | Iwata | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15:28 | 8 |
| 10 | Nagano | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9:26 | 6 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tokushima | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Ehime | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Kamatamare | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:18 | 12 |
| 8 | Osaka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Imabari | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13:26 | 8 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 23 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 5 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Kumamoto | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
