Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 0.94 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (415/513) | 75% (260/347) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 0.94 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.12 | 1.07 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (415/513) | 75% (260/347) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (30/63) | 32% (19/59) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (85/142) | 56% (48/85) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (6/21) | 20% (3/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.54 | 0.49 |
Throw-ins |
---|
33 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 60% (9/15) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.07 | 0.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.93 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Morita K. 🟨,
- 56', Oda Y. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
- 56', Matsumura S. ↓, Hata T. ↑,
- 58', Saito K. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
- 58', Meshino S. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Okuno K. ⚽,
- 66', Someno I. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 66', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 71', Ikeda M. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
- 71', Hiraoka T. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 81', Arai Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
- 88', Fukuda S. 🟨,
- 90', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Luiz Phellype ⚽, Okuno H. (A),
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy 38.3% | Draw 31.8% | Shonan Bellmare 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↑ (2.1) |
2.96 ↓ (3.26) |
3.15 ↓ (3.53) |
6% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
- Tokyo Verdy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shonan Bellmare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hirakawa R.
(Yellow Cards)
Sako M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishibashi S.
(Ankle Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Shonan Bellmare?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Tokyo Verdy?
Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
06.10.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:2
10.07.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Tokyo Verdy
1:0
03.04.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Tokyo Verdy
1:2
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League