Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 33
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.44	0.50
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	0
Passes
79% (411/519)	74% (232/315)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.17	1.17
Total shots
10	7
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
6	0
Touches in opposition box
21	12
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
79% (411/519)	74% (232/315)
Long passes
41% (31/76)	26% (16/61)
Passes in final third
62% (93/149)	51% (45/89)
Crosses
15% (4/27)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	0.70
Throw-ins
28	32
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
78% (7/9)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
56	48
Clearances
20	46
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.17	0.17
Goals prevented
0.17	0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Toyama S. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Someno I. ⚽, Matsuhashi Y. (A),
57', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
66', Morita K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
68', Hiraoka T. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
68', Watanabe K. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
70', Arai Y. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
73', Uchida Y. 🟨,
76', Matsumura S. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
80', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
80', Uchida Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
83', Fujii T. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
83', Onose K. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
90+1', Inami T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
28.6%

Draw
31.3%

Tokyo Verdy
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.7%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

30.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-3%)

Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.98)	3.01 ↓ (3.11)	2.36 ↓ (2.58)	6% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 30.1% – 75.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tokyo Verdy will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 4.
Shonan Bellmare is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tokyo Verdy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishii H. (International duty) Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Tokyo Verdy?

Shonan Bellmare has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Shonan Bellmare?

Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:

11.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2

06.10.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2

10.07.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:0

03.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:2

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

28.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 3:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

27.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy 4:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 4:2 ✺

15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League