Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Result
0:1
03/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.50
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
79% (411/519)74% (232/315)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.440.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.171.17
Total shots
107
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2112
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
79% (411/519)74% (232/315)
Long passes
41% (31/76)26% (16/61)
Passes in final third
62% (93/149)51% (45/89)
Crosses
15% (4/27)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.70
Throw-ins
2832
Fouls
1314
Tackles
78% (7/9)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5648
Clearances
2046
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.170.17
Goals prevented
0.170.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Toyama S. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Someno I. ⚽, Matsuhashi Y. (A),
  • 57', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Morita K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
  • 68', Hiraoka T. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
  • 68', Watanabe K. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
  • 70', Arai Y. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
  • 73', Uchida Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Matsumura S. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
  • 80', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
  • 80', Uchida Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
  • 83', Fujii T. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
  • 83', Onose K. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
  • 90+1', Inami T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
28.6%		Draw
31.3%		Tokyo Verdy
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 30.7% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 30.7% 37.1%

Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.29 ↑
(2.98)		 3.01 ↓
(3.11)		 2.36 ↓
(2.58)		 6%
(4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 30.1% – 75.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Tokyo Verdy (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Shonan Bellmare (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tokyo Verdy will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tokyo Verdy (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 4.
    • Shonan Bellmare is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tokyo Verdy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishii H. (International duty) Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    06.10.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    10.07.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    03.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:2
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    28.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺
    23.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Shonan Bellmare 3:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shonan Bellmare 3:0 ✺
    07.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    27.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺
    23.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy 4:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 4:2 ✺
    15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Yokohama FC - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Mito000000:00
    2Verdy000000:00
    3Yokohama F. Marinos000000:00
    4Kawasaki Frontale000000:00
    5Kashiwa Reysol000000:00
    6Chiba000000:00
    7Urawa Reds000000:00
    8FC Tokyo000000:00
    9Kashima Antlers000000:00
    10Machida000000:00


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Avispa Fukuoka000000:00
    2Cerezo Osaka000000:00
    3Kyoto000000:00
    4Nagoya Grampus000000:00
    5Shimizu S-Pulse000000:00
    6Vissel Kobe000000:00
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima000000:00
    8Gamba Osaka000000:00
    9Okayama000000:00
    10V-Varen Nagasaki000000:00

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)

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