Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (415/513) | 75% (260/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (415/513) | 75% (260/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/63) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (85/142) | 56% (48/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 54', Morita K. 🟨,
- 56', Oda Y. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
- 56', Matsumura S. ↓, Hata T. ↑,
- 58', Saito K. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
- 58', Meshino S. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Okuno K. ⚽,
- 66', Someno I. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 66', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 71', Ikeda M. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
- 71', Hiraoka T. ↓, Luiz Phellype ↑,
- 81', Arai Y. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
- 88', Fukuda S. 🟨,
- 90', Okuno K. ↓, Barada A. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Luiz Phellype ⚽, Okuno H. (A),
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy
38.3% | Draw
31.8% | Shonan Bellmare
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.1) |
2.96 ↓
(3.26) |
3.15 ↓
(3.53) |
6%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
- Tokyo Verdy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Shonan Bellmare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hirakawa R.
(Yellow Cards)
Sako M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishibashi S.
(Ankle Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Shonan Bellmare?
Tokyo Verdy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Tokyo Verdy?
Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
06.10.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:2
10.07.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Tokyo Verdy
1:0
03.04.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Tokyo Verdy
1:2
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 37:24 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 5 | Machida | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 43 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 35 |
| 11 | Gamba Osaka | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Okayama | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 31 |
| 14 | Verdy | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 16:24 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 20:39 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 15:32 | -17 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 25:44 | -19 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
