Result
2:1
14/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 29
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (288/388) | 69% (224/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (288/388) | 69% (224/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (33/70) | 42% (37/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 58% (77/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Hale R. ⚽, Vokes S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Davison J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 59', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 59', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Hutchinson I. ⚽, Young L. (A),
- 68', Masterson C. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
- 74', Faal M. 🟨,
- 77', Hale R. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
- 77', Smith A. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
- 78', Vokes S. ↓, Palmer-Houlden S. ↑,
- 90+4', Dack B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
- 90+4', Thomas J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Faal M. ⚽,
- 90+6', Ashfield H. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town 33.4% | Draw 30.2% | Gillingham 36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Cheltenham Town - Gillingham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↓ (3.1) |
3.12 ↑ (3.1) |
2.57 ↑ (2.26) |
6.1% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Gillingham?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Gillingham (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Cheltenham (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gillingham will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheltenham (votes: 1 - 25%). Gillingham (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 18 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 1.
- Recent form of Cheltenham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gillingham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Gillingham?
Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Cheltenham Town?
Gillingham has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Gillingham were as follows:
11.10.2025
Gillingham
-
Cheltenham Town
1:1
18.04.2025
Cheltenham Town
-
Gillingham
1:1
20.12.2024
Gillingham
-
Cheltenham Town
2:2
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Gillingham
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One