Result
5:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Dale A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (331/423) | 72% (276/383) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 14 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (331/423) | 72% (276/383) |
| Long passes |
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| 42% (28/66) | 38% (27/72) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 54% (62/114) | 65% (77/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
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| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 63% (10/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.69 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.31 | -2.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 7', Morgan I. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
- 10', Hoole L. 🟨,
- 11', 2 - 0, Paterson C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Nemane A. 🟨,
- 34', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
- 40', Perry T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Nemane A. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
- 69', Gilbey A. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
- 69', Jones G. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 72', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↓, Ojinnaka T. ↑,
- 72', Morgan I. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
- 72', Perry T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
- 77', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 0, Offord L. ⚽,
- 82', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Sang T. ⚽,
- 88', 5 - 1, Crowley D. ⚽,
- 90+3', Clucas S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons
64.4% | Draw
22.1% | Shrewsbury Town
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-22.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.6) |
4.23 ↑
(3.79) |
6.85 ↑
(5.26) |
6.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25, 1st Half - MK Dons (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - MK Dons (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
- In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shrewsbury is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, MK Dons is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Thompson N.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Sang T.
(Inactive)
Scully A.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Shrewsbury Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Shrewsbury Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
27.09.2025
Shrewsbury Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
24.01.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Shrewsbury Town
0:1
08.10.2022
Shrewsbury Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 42 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 67:41 | 26 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 77:42 | 35 | 76 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 71:45 | 26 | 76 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 41 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 58:31 | 27 | 74 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 42 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 73 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 63:52 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Crewe | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 61:50 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Oldham | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 52:35 | 17 | 65 |
| 10 | Grimsby | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 59:43 | 16 | 65 |
| 11 | Barnet | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 57:47 | 10 | 64 |
| 12 | Walsall | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 52:46 | 6 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 51:53 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 46:62 | -16 | 52 |
| 16 | Accrington | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 40:46 | -6 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 49 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 39:66 | -27 | 44 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 44:67 | -23 | 43 |
| 20 | Crawley | 42 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 40:62 | -22 | 37 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 41 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 48:71 | -23 | 36 |
| 22 | Newport | 42 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 41:72 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Barrow | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 38:65 | -27 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 34:64 | -30 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
