Result
5:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Dale A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
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| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
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| 78% (331/423) | 72% (276/383) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.56 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.76 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 14 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
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| 78% (331/423) | 72% (276/383) |
| Long passes |
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| 42% (28/66) | 38% (27/72) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 54% (62/114) | 65% (77/119) |
| Crosses |
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| 14% (3/21) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
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| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 63% (10/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 46 | 44 |
| Clearances |
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| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.69 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.31 | -2.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 7', Morgan I. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
- 10', Hoole L. 🟨,
- 11', 2 - 0, Paterson C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Nemane A. 🟨,
- 34', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ⚽, Wiles B. (A),
- 40', Perry T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Nemane A. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
- 69', Gilbey A. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
- 69', Jones G. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 72', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↓, Ojinnaka T. ↑,
- 72', Morgan I. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
- 72', Perry T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
- 77', Paterson C. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 0, Offord L. ⚽,
- 82', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Sang T. ⚽,
- 88', 5 - 1, Crowley D. ⚽,
- 90+3', Clucas S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Milton Keynes Dons 64.4% | Draw 22.1% | Shrewsbury Town 13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.6) |
4.23 ↑ (3.79) |
6.85 ↑ (5.26) |
6.9% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25, 1st Half - MK Dons (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - MK Dons (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
- In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shrewsbury is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, MK Dons is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Thompson N.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Sang T.
(Inactive)
Scully A.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Shrewsbury Town?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Shrewsbury Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
27.09.2025
Shrewsbury Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:2
24.01.2023
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Shrewsbury Town
0:1
08.10.2022
Shrewsbury Town
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:1
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 52:31 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 38:22 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | Swindon | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 5 | Salford | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 52 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 56:31 | 25 | 51 |
| 7 | Walsall | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 37:28 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 46:39 | 7 | 45 |
| 9 | Grimsby | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 44 |
| 10 | Crewe | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 46:38 | 8 | 44 |
| 11 | Barnet | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Accrington | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 13 | Colchester | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 42 |
| 14 | Gillingham | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 38:35 | 3 | 38 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 37 |
| 16 | Oldham | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 35 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 42:49 | -7 | 32 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 26:47 | -21 | 27 |
| 20 | Crawley | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 26 |
| 21 | Barrow | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28:42 | -14 | 24 |
| 22 | Shrewsbury | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23:47 | -24 | 23 |
| 23 | Newport | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 29:54 | -25 | 20 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 30 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 20:49 | -29 | 18 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League