Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.84
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
73% (228/313)71% (211/296)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.96
Total shots
712
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
1427
Accurate through passes
06
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
73% (228/313)71% (211/296)
Long passes
36% (30/84)44% (32/73)
Passes in final third
58% (66/113)62% (58/94)
Crosses
15% (4/27)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.381.83
Throw-ins
3317
Fouls
1116
Tackles
53% (8/15)79% (19/24)
Duels won
5360
Clearances
2331
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
0.960.80
Goals prevented
-0.04-1.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Anderson T. 🟨,
  • 27', Swyer K. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Swyer K. , Perkins J. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, McDermott T. ,
  • 45+1', Benning M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Jacobs M. , Eaves T. ,
  • 65', Scully A. , Lloyd G. ,
  • 66', McDermott T. , Aneke Ch. ,
  • 66', Benning M. , Clucas S. ,
  • 67', Edwards K. , McGeehan C. ,
  • 75', Taylor T. 🟨,
  • 77', Sang T. , Kabia I. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, McCarthy C. , Burge L. (A),
  • 80', Perry T. , England I. ,
  • 80', Burroughs J. , Guthrie J. ,
  • 83', Eaves T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
49.6%
Draw
26.5%
Shrewsbury Town
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 25.5% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 26.6% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Northampton Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.86)
    3.51
    (3.63)
    3.87
    (3.72)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Northampton Town will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northampton Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.
    • Northampton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shrewsbury is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Northampton is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town 4:1
    29.12.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town 1:1
    27.01.2024 Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town 0:2
    07.10.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town 1:0
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9LutonExeter4 : 0
    10SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    11Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    12Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1
    13CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    14ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    15NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    16StevenageWalsall1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5LutonSwindon1 : 2
    6Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4
    7AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    8NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    2Port ValeStockport County0 : 4
    3LutonPlymouth2 : 1
    4AFC WimbledonNorthampton1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1DoncasterStockport County
    2LutonNorthampton

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2