Result
4:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (159/248) | 76% (305/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (159/248) | 76% (305/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (16/55) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (81/135) | 59% (56/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 27 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 3.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', Pierre A. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, McGowan A. ⚽, Pinnock M. (A),
- 32', Marquis J. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Costelloe D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', Magloire T. 🟨,
- 59', Perry B. 🟨,
- 61', Magloire T. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 64', Roberts T. ↓, Fosu T. ↑,
- 69', McGowan A. ↓, Hondermarck W. ↑,
- 69', Perry B. ↓, Baldwin J. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, McGeehan C. ⚽,
- 80', Hoole L. ↓, Feeney M. ↑,
- 80', Benning M. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 0, Costelloe D. ⚽, Odimayo A. (A),
- 89', Stewart C. ↓, Loughran J. ↑,
- 89', Biggins H. ↓, England I. ↑,
- 90', Dyche M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽, Gilliead A. (A),
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
60.7% | Draw
24.3% | Shrewsbury Town
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-20.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(2.03) |
3.87 ↑
(3.42) |
6.27 ↑
(3.73) |
6%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
Northampton Town will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northampton Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
- Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Shrewsbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Shrewsbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Northampton is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Northampton: Brough P.
(Broken Leg)
Eaves T.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Morton C.
(Knee Injury)
Sowerby J.
(Knee Injury)
Willis J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Hoskins S.
(Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Gape D.
(Injury)
Oliver V.
(Injury)
Shipley J.
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Northampton Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
29.12.2024
Shrewsbury Town
-
Northampton Town
1:1
27.01.2024
Northampton Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
0:2
07.10.2023
Shrewsbury Town
-
Northampton Town
1:0
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Luton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bolton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Northampton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Wigan | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Reading | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 23 | Burton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
