Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town
Result
4:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 44
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.85
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
64% (159/248)76% (305/402)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.85
xG on target (xGOT)
3.551.19
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2128
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1320
Passes
64% (159/248)76% (305/402)
Long passes
29% (16/55)33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
60% (81/135)59% (56/95)
Crosses
20% (4/20)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.22
Fouls
2013
Tackles
81% (13/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4255
Clearances Total
2748
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.193.55
Goals prevented
0.19-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', Pierre A. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, McGowan A. , Pinnock M. (A),
  • 32', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Costelloe D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', Magloire T. 🟨,
  • 59', Perry B. 🟨,
  • 61', Magloire T. , Dyche M. ,
  • 64', Roberts T. , Fosu T. ,
  • 69', McGowan A. , Hondermarck W. ,
  • 69', Perry B. , Baldwin J. ,
  • 70', 3 - 0, McGeehan C. ,
  • 80', Hoole L. , Feeney M. ,
  • 80', Benning M. , Nurse G. ,
  • 83', 4 - 0, Costelloe D. , Odimayo A. (A),
  • 89', Stewart C. , Loughran J. ,
  • 89', Biggins H. , England I. ,
  • 90', Dyche M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Marquis J. , Gilliead A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
60.7%
Draw
24.3%
Shrewsbury Town
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 27.7% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 23.8% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (2.03)
    3.87
    (3.42)
    6.27
    (3.73)
    6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Users Predictions: Northampton Town will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.75%98.49%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northampton Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
    • Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Shrewsbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Shrewsbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Northampton is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Brough P. (Broken Leg) Eaves T. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury) Willis J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Hoskins S. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Gape D. (Injury) Oliver V. (Injury) Shipley J. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town 1:1
    27.01.2024 Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town 0:2
    07.10.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town 1:0
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two