Result
4:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 44
- Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.85 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
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15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
64% (159/248) | 76% (305/402) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 1.85 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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3.55 | 1.19 |
Total shots |
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15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 28 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 20 |
Passes |
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64% (159/248) | 76% (305/402) |
Long passes |
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29% (16/55) | 33% (18/55) |
Passes in final third |
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60% (81/135) | 59% (56/95) |
Crosses |
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20% (4/20) | 35% (7/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 1.22 |
Fouls |
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20 | 13 |
Tackles |
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81% (13/16) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
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42 | 55 |
Clearances Total |
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27 | 48 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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1.19 | 3.55 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.19 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', Pierre A. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, McGowan A. ⚽, Pinnock M. (A),
- 32', Marquis J. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Costelloe D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', Magloire T. 🟨,
- 59', Perry B. 🟨,
- 61', Magloire T. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 64', Roberts T. ↓, Fosu T. ↑,
- 69', McGowan A. ↓, Hondermarck W. ↑,
- 69', Perry B. ↓, Baldwin J. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, McGeehan C. ⚽,
- 80', Hoole L. ↓, Feeney M. ↑,
- 80', Benning M. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 0, Costelloe D. ⚽, Odimayo A. (A),
- 89', Stewart C. ↓, Loughran J. ↑,
- 89', Biggins H. ↓, England I. ↑,
- 90', Dyche M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽, Gilliead A. (A),
Chances of winning
Northampton Town 60.7% | Draw 24.3% | Shrewsbury Town 15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-20.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.56 ↓ (2.03) |
3.87 ↑ (3.42) |
6.27 ↑ (3.73) |
6% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town?
Users Predictions:
Northampton Town will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Northampton Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
- Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Shrewsbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Shrewsbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Northampton is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Northampton: Brough P.
(Broken Leg)
Eaves T.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Morton C.
(Knee Injury)
Sowerby J.
(Knee Injury)
Willis J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Northampton: Hoskins S.
(Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Gape D.
(Injury)
Oliver V.
(Injury)
Shipley J.
(Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Shrewsbury Town?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Northampton Town?
Shrewsbury Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
29.12.2024
Shrewsbury Town
-
Northampton Town
1:1
27.01.2024
Northampton Town
-
Shrewsbury Town
0:2
07.10.2023
Shrewsbury Town
-
Northampton Town
1:0
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two