Result
3:0
16/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 35
- Referee: Pejin T. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (349/422) | 82% (343/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (349/422) | 82% (343/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (35/62) | 60% (36/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (74/107) | 70% (58/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -2.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Rozic V. ⚽, Radosevic J. (A),
- 4', 2 - 0, Rozic V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kavelj A. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
- 46', Peric S. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
- 63', Mauric A. ↓, Blagojevic S. ↑,
- 63', Gagua G. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
- 63', Bakic O. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 71', Rozic V. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Loncar S. ⚽, Kadusic A. (A),
- 75', Roca I. 🟨,
- 80', Valincic M. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 80', Loncar S. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
- 86', Laca I. ↓, Zdunic B. ↑,
- 86', Santini I. ↓, Koscevic Z. ↑,
- 89', Agyemang M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
55% | Draw
25.8% | Šibenik
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Istra 1961, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Istra 1961 - Šibenik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.61) |
3.62 ↓
(3.76) |
4.86 ↓
(5.43) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Šibenik?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Istra 1961 will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- Šibenik is Relegated to Prva NL
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.
- Istra 1961 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Šibenik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Istra 1961 is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z.
(Knee Injury)
Pozo I.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Šibenik?
Istra 1961 has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Istra 1961?
Šibenik has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Šibenik were as follows:
15.03.2025
Šibenik
-
Istra 1961
1:0
14.12.2024
Istra 1961
-
Šibenik
3:3
27.09.2024
Šibenik
-
Istra 1961
0:0
24.02.2023
Šibenik
-
Istra 1961
0:0
23.10.2022
Istra 1961
-
Šibenik
0:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Šibenik
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 16 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
