Result
3:0
16/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 35
- Referee: Pejin T. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 0.35 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
83% (349/422) | 82% (343/420) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 0.35 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.78 | 0.22 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
83% (349/422) | 82% (343/420) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (35/62) | 60% (36/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (74/107) | 70% (58/83) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/16) | 43% (6/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.42 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (11/12) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.22 | 0.78 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.22 | -2.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Rozic V. ⚽, Radosevic J. (A),
- 4', 2 - 0, Rozic V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kavelj A. ↓, Roca I. ↑,
- 46', Peric S. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
- 63', Mauric A. ↓, Blagojevic S. ↑,
- 63', Gagua G. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
- 63', Bakic O. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
- 71', Rozic V. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Loncar S. ⚽, Kadusic A. (A),
- 75', Roca I. 🟨,
- 80', Valincic M. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 80', Loncar S. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
- 86', Laca I. ↓, Zdunic B. ↑,
- 86', Santini I. ↓, Koscevic Z. ↑,
- 89', Agyemang M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961 55% | Draw 25.8% | Šibenik 19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Istra 1961, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Istra 1961 - Šibenik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.61) |
3.62 ↓ (3.76) |
4.86 ↓ (5.43) |
6.9% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Šibenik?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Istra 1961 will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- Šibenik is Relegated to Prva NL
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 1.
- Istra 1961 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Šibenik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Istra 1961 is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Šibenik: Nizic Z.
(Knee Injury)
Pozo I.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Šibenik?
Istra 1961 has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Šibenik won against Istra 1961?
Šibenik has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Šibenik were as follows:
15.03.2025
Šibenik
-
Istra 1961
1:0
14.12.2024
Istra 1961
-
Šibenik
3:3
27.09.2024
Šibenik
-
Istra 1961
0:0
24.02.2023
Šibenik
-
Istra 1961
0:0
23.10.2022
Istra 1961
-
Šibenik
0:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Latest results of Šibenik
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
2 | Rijeka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Lok. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Istra 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
8 | Vukovar 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
9 | Osijek | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
10 | Slaven Belupo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL