Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Superliga - Round 11
- Referee: Hansen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (617/662) | 88% (473/537) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.79 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (617/662) | 88% (473/537) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (39/53) | 44% (16/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (130/153) | 80% (86/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 4.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | 1.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', Poulsen N. 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, Arnstad K. ⚽, Poulsen N. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Yakob K. ⚽, Beijmo F. (A),
- 32', 2 - 1, McCowatt C. ⚽, Adamsen T. (A),
- 37', Tingager F. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Westh V. 🟨,
- 62', Freundlich M. ↓, Nielsen J. ↑,
- 62', Bakiz Y. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Bech T. ⚽,
- 67', Yakob K. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
- 67', Poulsen N. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
- 81', McCowatt C. ↓, Berger S. ↑,
- 81', Westh V. ↓, Boesen O. ↑,
- 86', Adamsen T. ↓, Bondergaard A. ↑,
- 88', Bech T. ↓, Kristjansson T. ↑,
- 88', Links G. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
Chances of winning
AGF Aarhus
63.7% | Draw
20.1% | Silkeborg IF
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Silkeborg IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.61) |
4.86 ↑
(4.32) |
6.06 ↑
(4.92) |
3.4%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF?
Users Predictions:
AGF Aarhus will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AGF Aarhus will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 0.
- Aarhus has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Silkeborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Silkeborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aarhus is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Silkeborg: Busch A.
(Ankle Injury)
Madsen A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodin P.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Aarhus will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Silkeborg IF?
AGF Aarhus has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Silkeborg IF won against AGF Aarhus?
Silkeborg IF has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF were as follows:
01.12.2024
Silkeborg IF
-
AGF Aarhus
1:1
15.09.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Silkeborg IF
1:1
16.05.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Silkeborg IF
0:1
09.05.2024
Silkeborg IF
-
AGF Aarhus
1:0
01.04.2024
Silkeborg IF
-
AGF Aarhus
2:2
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Latest results of Silkeborg IF
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 26:13 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Brondby | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:14 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Copenhagen | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26:18 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 6 | Randers FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 7 | Odense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:29 | -9 | 15 |
| 8 | Silkeborg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19:25 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Sonderjyske | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Viborg | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Fredericia | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Vejle | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
