Sirius vs Varbergs BoIS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Sirius - Varbergs BoIS
Result
7:0
16/09/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SWEDEN: ALLSVENSKAN - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDiscovery+
swedenSwedenDiscovery+

Chances of winning


Sirius
66.6%
Draw
19.1%
Varbergs BoIS
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 21% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 16.9% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sirius that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varbergs BoIS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sirius - Varbergs BoIS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.49)
    4.88
    (4.46)
    6.65
    (5.8)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Sirius - Varbergs BoIS?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Varberg will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sirius won 2.
    • Recent matches Sirius is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Varberg is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Sirius is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Sirius won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sirius won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-12.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sirius - Varbergs BoIS were as follows:
    17.04.2023 Varbergs BoIS - Sirius 1:1
    06.11.2022 Sirius - Varbergs BoIS 2:3
    Latest results of Sirius
    02.09.2023 Halmstad - Sirius 2:1
    28.08.2023 Sirius - Malmö 1:3
    20.08.2023 Häcken - Sirius 3:2
    13.08.2023 Sirius - Kalmar 3:0
    Latest results of Varbergs BoIS
    28.08.2023 AIK - Varbergs BoIS 3:0
    19.08.2023 Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo 0:3
    13.08.2023 Häcken - Varbergs BoIS 2:0
    07.08.2023 Varbergs BoIS - Mjällby 0:3
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby18134135:142143
    2Hammarby18123334:161839
    3Malmo FF1896328:141433
    4AIK1896324:16833
    5Elfsborg17102531:22932
    6GAIS1787227:131431
    7Djurgarden1774621:18325
    8Goteborg1781824:26-225
    9Hacken1764725:31-622
    10Brommapojkarna17611023:25-219
    11Norrkoping1754825:29-419
    12Halmstad17521014:34-2017
    13Degerfors17421118:36-1814
    14Sirius17341022:30-813
    15Oster17341012:23-1113
    16Varnamo17141215:31-167

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan