Result
1:1
16/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 7 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/379) | 81% (333/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/379) | 81% (333/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (24/42) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (51/78) | 65% (101/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Villar Miki ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Matsenko Y. ⚽, Leszczynski R. (A),
- 54', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
- 65', Matsenko Y. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
- 67', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 72', Zukowski M. ↓, Jasper S. ↑,
- 72', Ince B. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
- 79', Ebosse E. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
- 83', Paluszek A. ↓, Petkov A. ↑,
- 83', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Udahl H. ↑,
- 90+3', Ortiz A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Śląsk Wrocław
23.2% | Draw
23.6% | Jagiellonia Białystok
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Śląsk Wrocław's form might have worsened.Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jagiellonia Białystok's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Śląsk Wrocław, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jagiellonia Białystok, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.05 ↑
(2.77) |
3.99 ↑
(3.47) |
1.78 ↓
(2.41) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Śląsk is Relegated to Division 1
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M.
(Knee Injury)
Jezierski J.
(Yellow Cards)
Pokorny P.
(Knee Injury)
Swierczok J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
Wojtuszek N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L.
(Inactive)
Ebosse E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Śląsk Wrocław won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Śląsk Wrocław has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Śląsk Wrocław?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
22.11.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Śląsk Wrocław
2:2
08.03.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Śląsk Wrocław
3:1
26.09.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Śląsk Wrocław
2:0
03.09.2023
Śląsk Wrocław
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
05.05.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Śląsk Wrocław
1:1
Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
