Śląsk Wrocław vs Jagiellonia Białystok – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
1:1
16/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 33
  • Referee: Arys K. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 7
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.96
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1223
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
80% (304/379)81% (333/409)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.741.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.90
Total shots
1223
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
1115
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2550
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
80% (304/379)81% (333/409)
Long passes
57% (24/42)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
65% (51/78)65% (101/155)
Crosses
21% (3/14)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.782.11
Throw-ins
1420
Fouls
1312
Tackles
67% (14/21)88% (15/17)
Duels won
4748
Clearances
3116
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
1.901.83
Goals prevented
0.900.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Villar Miki ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Matsenko Y. ⚽, Leszczynski R. (A),
  • 54', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
  • 65', Matsenko Y. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
  • 67', Moutinho J. 🟨,
  • 72', Zukowski M. ↓, Jasper S. ↑,
  • 72', Ince B. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
  • 79', Ebosse E. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
  • 83', Paluszek A. ↓, Petkov A. ↑,
  • 83', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Udahl H. ↑,
  • 90+3', Ortiz A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
23.2%		Draw
23.6%		Jagiellonia Białystok
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 27.1% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 27.6% 38.3%

Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.05 ↑
(2.77)		 3.99 ↑
(3.47)		 1.78 ↓
(2.41)		 6.1%
(6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 57.1% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Śląsk is Relegated to Division 1
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Jezierski J. (Yellow Cards) Pokorny P. (Knee Injury) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Sacek M. (Leg Injury) Wojtuszek N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L. (Inactive) Ebosse E. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław 2:2
    08.03.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław 3:1
    26.09.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław 2:0
    03.09.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1
    05.05.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Śląsk Wrocław 1:1
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    09.05.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław 2:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin 3:1 ✺
    25.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Katowice 0:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Cracovia - Śląsk Wrocław 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
    10.05.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 ✺
    04.05.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Korona Kielce - Jagiellonia Białystok 3:1 ✺
    21.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3 ✺
    17.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Betis 1:1 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock1879221:12930
    2Gornik Zabrze1893629:24530
    3Rakow1792626:22429
    4Jagiellonia1684428:20828
    5Cracovia1876525:21427
    6Radomiak Radom1875635:30526
    7Lech Poznan1768329:26326
    8Zaglebie1767430:24625
    9Korona Kielce1866621:19224
    10Pogon Szczecin1863928:32-421
    11Arka Gdynia1863915:32-1721
    12Lechia Gdansk1874737:37020
    13Widzew Lodz18621026:28-220
    14GKS Katowice1762923:28-520
    15Motor Lublin1748522:27-520
    16Legia1747619:20-119
    17Termalica B-B1854924:35-1119
    18Piast Gliwice1645718:19-117

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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