Śląsk Wrocław vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
03/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Polish Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandTVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
2121
Shots on target
1718
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
2121
Shots on target
1718
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
46
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1016
Throw-ins
2111
Fouls
1710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Brunes J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Sharabura Y. , Klimek A. ,
  • 66', Repka O. , Struski K. ,
  • 66', Brunes J. , Pienko T. ,
  • 68', Marjanac L. , Banaszak P. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Warchol D. ,
  • 72', Matsenko Y. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Makuch P. , Pienko T. (A),
  • 78', Warchol D. , Halimi B. ,
  • 78', Matsenko Y. , Yriarte J. ,
  • 83', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Bulat M. ,
  • 85', Jezierski J. , Kozak M. ,
  • 86', Rosiak M. 🟨,
  • 86', Makuch P. , Rondic I. ,
  • 88', Adriano 🟨,
  • 90+1', Zych O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
16.2%
Draw
23.5%
Raków Częstochowa
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 23.8% 54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 23.4% 55.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Śląsk Wrocław's form might have worsened.
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.71
    (4.2)
    3.93
    (3.75)
    1.53
    (1.63)
    8.3%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Raków (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Raków (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 12 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1.
    • Recent performances by Śląsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Raków is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Raków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Śląsk has had a series of away games.
    • Raków could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław 3:0
    26.10.2024 Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    25.05.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław 1:2
    03.12.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa 1:1
    10.03.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław 4:1
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1ZawiszaBye
    2ByeTychy
    3WikielecBye
    4PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    5Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    6Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    7Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    8ByeWisla
    9AndrychowBye
    10ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    11Legnica IIBye
    12Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    13OzimekBye
    14ByePruszkow
    15S. RzeszowBye
    16ByeKorona Kielce
    17LKS LomzaBye
    18ByeOdra Opole
    19Korona Kielce IIBye
    20ByePiast Gliwice
    21Gryf SlupskBye
    22ByePolonia Warszawa
    24ByeLech Poznan
    25Stal MielecBye
    26ByePuszcza
    27Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    28ByeLechia Gdansk
    29Arka GdyniaBye
    30ByeMotor Lublin
    31Legia IIBye
    32ByeGornik Zabrze
    33Avia SwidnikBye
    34ByeRuch Chorzow
    35SwinoujscieBye
    36KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    40Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    41SrodaBye
    42Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    43T. MazowieckiBye
    44ByeSlask Wroclaw
    45RakowBye
    47LecznaBye
    48ByeCracovia
    49LKS LodzBye
    50ByeChrobry Glogow
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LegnicaBye
    54ByePogon Siedlce
    56ByeJagiellonia
    57LegiaBye
    59Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    60ByePogon Szczecin
    61Termalica B-B.Bye
    62ByeWidzew Lodz
    63Radomiak RadomBye
    64ByeZaglebie

    1/32-finals
    1ZawiszaTychy2 : 0
    2WikielecPodbeskidzie2 : 1
    3Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow0 : 1
    4Bytom OdrzanskiWisla0 : 1
    5AndrychowChojniczanka0 : 3
    6Legnica IISwit Szczecin1 : 3
    7OzimekPruszkow1 : 2
    8S. RzeszowKorona Kielce0 : 1
    9LKS LomzaOdra Opole0 : 2
    10Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice0 : 1
    11Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa1 : 0
    12ByeLech Poznan
    13Stal MielecPuszcza1 : 2
    14Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk0 : 1
    15Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin1 : 0
    16Legia IIGornik Zabrze0 : 3
    17Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow3 : 1
    18SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie3 : 2
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola3 : 1
    20Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom0 : 1
    21SrodaOl. Grudziadz1 : 3
    22T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw1 : 2
    23RakowBye
    24LecznaCracovia1 : 5
    25LKS LodzChrobry Glogow5 : 3
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock4 : 2
    27LegnicaPogon Siedlce2 : 0
    28ByeJagiellonia
    29LegiaBye
    30Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    31Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz2 : 3
    32Radomiak RadomZaglebie0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ZawiszaWikielec3 : 0
    2Hutnik KrakowWisla0 : 1
    3ChojniczankaSwit Szczecin3 : 1
    4PruszkowKorona Kielce0 : 3
    5Odra OpolePiast Gliwice0 : 2
    6Gryf SlupskLech Poznan1 : 2
    7PuszczaLechia Gdansk1 : 3
    8Arka GdyniaGornik Zabrze1 : 2
    9Avia SwidnikSwinoujscie3 : 0
    10Goczalkowice Zdroj IIPolonia Bytom0 : 7
    11Ol. GrudziadzSlask Wroclaw0 : 1
    12RakowCracovia3 : 0
    13LKS LodzGKS Katowice1 : 2
    14LegnicaJagiellonia2 : 3
    15LegiaPogon Szczecin1 : 2
    16Widzew LodzZaglebie1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ZawiszaWisla4 : 1
    2ChojniczankaKorona Kielce2 : 1
    3Piast GliwiceLech Poznan0 : 2
    4Lechia GdanskGornik Zabrze1 : 3
    5Avia SwidnikPolonia Bytom4 : 2
    6Slask WroclawRakow1 : 2
    7GKS KatowiceJagiellonia3 : 1
    8Pogon SzczecinWidzew Lodz0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1ZawiszaChojniczanka2 : 1
    2Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze0 : 1
    3Avia SwidnikRakow1 : 2
    4GKS KatowiceWidzew Lodz2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ZawiszaGornik Zabrze
    2RakowGKS Katowice

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2