Śląsk Wrocław vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin
Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 31
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.53
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
69
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
211
Passes
80% (294/367)80% (329/410)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.832.10
Total shots
1318
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
1827
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
77
Passes
80% (294/367)80% (329/410)
Long passes
33% (15/46)56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)60% (67/111)
Crosses
22% (2/9)23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.92
Throw-ins
2521
Fouls
77
Tackles
56% (5/9)55% (12/22)
Duels won
4053
Clearances
3228
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
83
xGOT faced
2.101.83
Goals prevented
1.10-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Szota S. ,
  • 41', Paluszek A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Kurminowski D. , Regula M. ,
  • 46', Kludka B. , Radwanski A. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Radwanski A. ,
  • 59', Paluszek A. , Matsenko Y. ,
  • 59', Ortiz A. , Jasper S. ,
  • 61', Jasper S. 🟨,
  • 63', Radwanski A. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Al Hamlawi A. ,
  • 72', Makowski T. , Listkowski M. ,
  • 72', Pienko T. , Adamski R. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Jezierski J. ,
  • 82', Dabrowski D. , Mroz M. ,
  • 82', Al Hamlawi A. , Guercio T. ,
  • 84', Michalski D. 🟨,
  • 86', Zukowski M. 🟨,
  • 88', Pozo J. , Ince B. ,
  • 88', Jezierski J. , Schierack S. ,
  • 90+1', Marc L. B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Śląsk Wrocław
47.6%
Draw
25.3%
Zagłębie Lubin
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 27% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 27.9% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.02)
    3.72
    (3.3)
    3.46
    (3.1)
    6%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1.
    • In recent matches, Śląsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Zagłębie Lubin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Zagłębie Lubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Śląsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Musiolik S. (Inactive) Pokorny P. (Injury) Schwarz P. (Surgery) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Injury) Nalepa M. (Yellow Cards) Szafranek W. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Kolan J. (Injury) Wdowiak M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław 3:0
    15.12.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław 1:2
    29.07.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin 1:2
    28.01.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin 0:3
    Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    3Radomiak Radom21106:244
    4Termalica B-B21014:223
    5Wisla Plock11002:023
    6Widzew Lodz11001:013
    7Rakow11001:013
    8Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    9Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    10Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    11Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    12Legia00000:000
    13Piast Gliwice10010:1-10
    14GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    15Zaglebie10010:1-10
    16Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1