Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 7
- Referee: Terzic A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (346/419) | 78% (298/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (346/419) | 78% (298/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 58% (37/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (70/105) | 55% (47/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Cabraja M. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Kavelj A. ⚽,
- 40', Cubelic I. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Liber A. ↓, Agbekpornu M. ↑,
- 46', Jagusic A. ↓, Isasegi K. ↑,
- 61', Prsir J. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
- 62', Fiolic I. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
- 65', Suto A. 🟨,
- 67', 2 - 1, Mitrovic J. ⚽, Agbekpornu M. (A),
- 73', Pozo I. 🟨,
- 76', Caimacov M. ↓, Crepulja L. ↑,
- 76', Mitrovic J. ↓, Filipovic A. ↑,
- 83', Les M. 🟨,
- 88', Trontelj Z. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 88', Suto A. ↓, Sivalec G. ↑,
- 90+1', Pozo I. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 90+5', Filipovic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gorica
41.6% | Draw
29% | Slaven Belupo
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gorica's performance.Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slaven Belupo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorica that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slaven Belupo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gorica - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.6) |
3.21 ↑
(3.15) |
3.21 ↑
(2.5) |
6.3%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gorica - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Crepulja L.
(Injury)
Jakir A.
(Injury)
Kruselj F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Slaven Belupo?
Gorica has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Gorica?
Slaven Belupo has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
18.05.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
4:0
14.03.2025
Gorica
-
Slaven Belupo
0:3
05.03.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
3:1
13.12.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
2:1
30.09.2024
Gorica
-
Slaven Belupo
2:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Gorica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Osijek | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Rijeka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
