Result
4:0
18/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 35
- Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/452) | 71% (245/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/452) | 71% (245/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (39/68) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (94/139) | 48% (31/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Bralic S. (Own goal),
- 38', 2 - 0, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Jakir A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gurlica J. ↓, Slogar M. ↑,
- 58', Grgic A. 🟨,
- 59', Slogar M. 🟨,
- 63', Dolcek I. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 63', Grgic A. ↓, Sakota M. ↑,
- 63', Jagusic A. ↓, Liber A. ↑,
- 63', Elezi A. ↓, Prsir J. ↑,
- 63', Cuic F. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Liber A. ⚽, Suto A. (A),
- 76', Nestorovski I. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 0, Sakota M. ⚽, Lepinjica I. (A),
- 78', Cubelic I. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
- 83', Erceg A. ↓, Majstorovic V. ↑,
- 90+1', Vrzic L. ↓, Frigan J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
63.5% | Draw
22.3% | Gorica
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slaven Belupo's performance.Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gorica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slaven Belupo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Slaven Belupo - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.74) |
4.26 ↑
(3.65) |
6.64 ↑
(4.56) |
4.3%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Gorica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Slaven Belupo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Slaven Belupo will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 4.
- Slaven Belupo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gorica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gorica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Slaven Belupo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I.
(Injury)
Les M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Hlevnjak F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Gorica?
Slaven Belupo has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Slaven Belupo?
Gorica has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Gorica were as follows:
14.03.2025
Gorica
-
Slaven Belupo
0:3
05.03.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
3:1
13.12.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
2:1
30.09.2024
Gorica
-
Slaven Belupo
2:1
04.05.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
4:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
