Result
2:2
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 25
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (239/301) | 80% (341/427) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (239/301) | 80% (341/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/67) | 65% (50/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (52/80) | 62% (89/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Pavicic D. ⚽, Pozo I. (A),
- 15', Mazar F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', 1 - 1, Bozic T. ⚽, Crepulja L. (A),
- 59', Grgic A. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
- 64', Vrzic L. 🟨,
- 68', Vrzic L. ↓, Epailly T. ↑,
- 68', Sule W. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 70', Isasegi K. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 2, Mitrovic J. ⚽, Zuta L. (A),
- 76', 2 - 2, Pavicic D. ⚽, Bogojevic B. (A),
- 77', Pavicic D. 🟨,
- 84', Nestorovski I. ↓, Jakir A. ↑,
- 84', Mazar F. ↓, Bosnjak L. ↑,
- 84', Cubelic I. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hadzikic O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Dabro M. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gorica
41.9% | Draw
29.6% | Slaven Belupo
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Gorica - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.07) |
3.17 ↓
(3.3) |
3.25
(3.25) |
7%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gorica - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorica: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gorica (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Slaven Belupo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of away games.
- Gorica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gorica: Durakovic E.
(Inactive)
Fiolic I.
(Inactive)
Trontelj Z.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I.
(Injury)
Kruselj F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Caimacov M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Slaven Belupo?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Gorica?
Slaven Belupo has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
05.12.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
2:1
21.09.2025
Gorica
-
Slaven Belupo
2:1
18.05.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
4:0
14.03.2025
Gorica
-
Slaven Belupo
0:3
05.03.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
3:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
