Result
2:1
05/12/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 16
- Referee: Lovric Z. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (332/425) | 75% (243/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (332/425) | 75% (243/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/112) | 62% (60/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 91% (20/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Jagusic A. ⚽, Suto A. (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Kavelj A. ⚽, Cabraja M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Liber A. ↓, Crepulja L. ↑,
- 60', Mitrovic J. ↓, Sivalec G. ↑,
- 68', Kruselj F. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 1, Cubelic I. ⚽, Crepulja L. (A),
- 76', Durakovic E. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 76', Bakic O. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 81', Peric S. 🟨,
- 83', Kavelj A. ↓, Pelko V. ↑,
- 83', Cuic F. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 85', Suto A. ↓, Katalinic Z. ↑,
- 85', Zuta L. ↓, Jakir A. ↑,
- 90+2', Jagusic A. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 90+3', Nestorovski I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
46.3% | Draw
28.1% | Gorica
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Slaven Belupo - Gorica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.16) |
3.32 ↑
(3.13) |
3.62 ↑
(3.23) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Gorica?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Slaven Belupo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Gorica (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Slaven Belupo will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Slaven Belupo (votes: 1 - 50%). Gorica (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 4.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.
- Slaven Belupo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Gorica?
Slaven Belupo has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Slaven Belupo?
Gorica has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Gorica were as follows:
21.09.2025
Gorica
-
Slaven Belupo
2:1
18.05.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
4:0
14.03.2025
Gorica
-
Slaven Belupo
0:3
05.03.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
3:1
13.12.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Gorica
2:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 44:17 | 27 | 44 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Istra 1961 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 29 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:32 | -4 | 27 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Gorica | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 |
| 9 | Osijek | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 17 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21:37 | -16 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
