Result
1:0
16/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (98/116) | 71% (66/93) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (98/116) | 71% (66/93) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 45% (9/20) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 40% (14/35) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', El Deeb K. 🟨,
- 38', Liadi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Amer A. ↓, Afifi Y. ↑,
- 50', Badji P. 🟨,
- 66', Liadi A. ↓, Magdi A. ↑,
- 68', Fawzi A. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
- 68', Amadi S. ↓, Balaha H. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Magdi A. ⚽, Dunga M. (A),
- 76', Magdi A. 🟨,
- 80', Fekri S. ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
- 80', Badji P. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
- 81', Mabululu ↓, Farid F. ↑,
- 82', Wahid Y. 🟨,
- 82', Wahid Y. ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
- 86', Afsha ↓, Emad M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
28.4% | Draw
35.5% | Smouha
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↓
(3.44) |
2.6 ↑
(2.56) |
2.55 ↑
(2.48) |
8.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Smouha will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smouha: 15.4% – 84.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Smouha (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Smouha (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smouha (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 0.
- Al-Ittihad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Smouha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Smouha could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Smouha?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Smouha has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Smouha were as follows:
20.12.2025
Smouha
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
16.05.2025
Smouha
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
04.03.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Smouha
0:1
14.05.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Smouha
0:2
24.01.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Smouha
0:2
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
