Result
1:0
16/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (98/116) | 71% (66/93) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (98/116) | 71% (66/93) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 45% (9/20) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 40% (14/35) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', El Deeb K. 🟨,
- 38', Liadi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Amer A. ↓, Afifi Y. ↑,
- 50', Badji P. 🟨,
- 66', Liadi A. ↓, Magdi A. ↑,
- 68', Fawzi A. ↓, Mohamed K. ↑,
- 68', Amadi S. ↓, Balaha H. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Magdi A. ⚽, Dunga M. (A),
- 76', Magdi A. 🟨,
- 80', Fekri S. ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
- 80', Badji P. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
- 81', Mabululu ↓, Farid F. ↑,
- 82', Wahid Y. 🟨,
- 82', Wahid Y. ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
- 86', Afsha ↓, Emad M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
28.4% | Draw
35.5% | Smouha
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Smouha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↓
(3.44) |
2.6 ↑
(2.56) |
2.55 ↑
(2.48) |
8.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Smouha?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Smouha will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Smouha: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Smouha (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Smouha (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Smouha (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 0.
- Al-Ittihad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Smouha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Smouha could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Smouha?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Smouha won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Smouha has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Smouha were as follows:
20.12.2025
Smouha
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
16.05.2025
Smouha
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
04.03.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Smouha
0:1
14.05.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Smouha
0:2
24.01.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Smouha
0:2
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
