Result
2:4
27/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 13
- Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (356/454) | 60% (150/252) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (356/454) | 60% (150/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (49/98) | 30% (21/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (115/172) | 56% (36/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (6/35) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.84 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Saavedra I. ⚽, Zinkovskiy A. (A),
- 36', 0 - 2, Ignatov M. ⚽, Iljin V. (A),
- 41', Magal R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Zhemaletdinov R. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
- 46', Mansilla B. ↓, Sadulaev L. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Samorodov M. ⚽,
- 66', 1 - 3, Ignatov M. ⚽,
- 72', Keliano M. ↓, El Mahraoui A. ↑,
- 76', Sidorov M. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 4, Vasiljev D. ⚽, Magal R. (A),
- 82', Vasiljev D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
- 83', Ezhov R. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
- 85', Ignatov M. ↓, Stojic N. ↑,
- 90', Marcelo Alves 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 4, Samorodov M. ⚽, Cacintura E. (A),
- 90+2', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Korneev A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
60.1% | Draw
24.1% | Sochi
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Akhmat Grozny - Sochi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.66) |
4.06 ↑
(3.83) |
6.2 ↑
(5.2) |
2.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Sochi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Akhmat Grozny will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Akhmat is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sochi: Ezhov R.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Sochi?
Akhmat Grozny has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Akhmat Grozny?
Sochi has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Sochi were as follows:
25.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Sochi
1:0
06.08.2023
Sochi
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:2
23.04.2023
Akhmat Grozny
-
Sochi
1:0
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
