Result
2:1
21/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Moskalev V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (398/482) | 81% (299/369) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (398/482) | 81% (299/369) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (109/153) | 65% (53/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (12/42) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Oleynikov I. ⚽, Akhmetov I. (A),
- 37', Pesjakov S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, Marcelo Alves ⚽,
- 61', Pechenin K. 🟨,
- 61', Litvinov V. 🟨,
- 63', Babkin S. 🟨,
- 64', Kravtsov K. ↓, Vasiljev D. ↑,
- 64', Iljin V. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
- 64', Magal R. ↓, Furtado G. ↑,
- 72', Rasskazov N. ↓, Lepskii I. ↑,
- 76', Evgenyev R. 🟨,
- 77', Ignatov M. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
- 81', Akhmetov I. ↓, Stolbov K. ↑,
- 82', Mukhin M. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
- 82', Babkin S. 🟨,
- 86', Vityugov M. ↓, Galdames T. ↑,
- 86', Rahmanovic A. ↓, Shumansky A. ↑,
- 90+7', Galdames T. 🟥,
- 90+9', Oleynikov I. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 1, Marcelo Alves ⚽, Zinkovskiy A. (A),
- 90+10', Marcelo Alves 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sochi
34.5% | Draw
27.8% | Krylya Sovetov
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Sochi - Krylya Sovetov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.58) |
3.45 ↓
(3.55) |
2.55 ↑
(2.48) |
4.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sochi - Krylya Sovetov?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Krylya Sovetov will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.
- Sochi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Krylya Sovetov is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Krylya Sovetov has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Sochi: Chirkov M.
(Inactive)
Stojic N.
(Inactive)
Zaika K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Krylya Sovetov: Banjac M.
(Yellow Cards)
Bozhin S.
(Yellow Cards)
Chernov N.
(Yellow Cards)
Sutormin A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sochi: Ignatov M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Krylya Sovetov: Geoffrey C.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Krylya Sovetov?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Sochi?
Krylya Sovetov has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Krylya Sovetov were as follows:
01.10.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Sochi
4:3
14.09.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Sochi
2:0
13.08.2025
Sochi
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:1
02.12.2023
Sochi
-
Krylya Sovetov
0:2
23.09.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Sochi
2:1
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
