Result
4:0
21/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
- Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (290/405) | 66% (248/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (290/405) | 66% (248/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (33/77) | 40% (37/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (60/103) | 52% (66/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Volkov S. (Own goal),
- 12', 2 - 0, Filin A. ⚽, Gassama N. (A),
- 40', Civic E. 🟨,
- 45+3', Filin A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Yenne T. ↓, Ryadno M. ↑,
- 56', Civic E. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
- 61', Volkov S. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
- 65', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 65', Titkov N. ↓, Belikov I. ↑,
- 73', Beveev M. 🟨,
- 78', Fedorov Z. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
- 78', Kramaric M. ↓, Meleshin P. ↑,
- 83', Litvinov V. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 0, Petrov M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', 4 - 0, Ryadno M. ⚽,
- 89', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Metsiev A. ↑,
- 89', Mukhin M. ↓, Korneev A. ↑,
- 90+2', Petrov M. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
- 90+5', Zaika K. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
69.2% | Draw
20.8% | Sochi
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+3%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.47) |
4.53 ↑
(3.83) |
9.51 ↑
(6.9) |
5.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 5 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.25 - Sochi (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2.
- Recent performances by Baltika have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sochi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Baltika is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Baltika: Andrade K.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sochi: Marcelo Alves
(Yellow Cards)
Vasiljev D.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Sochi?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi were as follows:
24.08.2025
Sochi
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
0:2
13.04.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Sochi
2:0
21.07.2024
Sochi
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:1
03.03.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Sochi
0:0
23.07.2023
Sochi
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:0
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
