Result
0:2
24/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/400) | 77% (292/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/400) | 77% (292/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/66) | 57% (49/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (53/94) | 68% (115/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 76% (19/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Varatynov S. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Gil B. (Pen),
- 44', Petrov I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Petrov I. ⚽, Gassama N. (A),
- 55', Kovalev Y. ↓, Manelov I. ↑,
- 59', Kramaric M. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
- 59', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Mukhin M. ↑,
- 59', Kravtsov K. ↓, Attiyat Allah Y. ↑,
- 61', Volkov S. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
- 65', Titkov N. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
- 65', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 72', Zaika K. 🟨,
- 77', Zaika K. ↓, Chirkov M. ↑,
- 79', Petrov I. ↓, Filin A. ↑,
- 79', Petrov M. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
- 90', Offor C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sochi
24.8% | Draw
28.3% | Baltika Kaliningrad
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↑
(3.16) |
3.4 ↑
(3.37) |
2.05 ↓
(2.49) |
4%
(1.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Baltika will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baltika: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2.
- Sochi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Baltika has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Baltika will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sochi: Marcelo Alves
(Red Card)
Meleshin P.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Sochi?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
13.04.2025
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Sochi
2:0
21.07.2024
Sochi
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:1
03.03.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Sochi
0:0
23.07.2023
Sochi
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:0
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
