Sochi vs Baltika Kaliningrad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad
Result
0:2
24/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 6
  • Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.60
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
77% (307/400)77% (292/377)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.602.03
Total shots
711
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1938
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
199
Passes
77% (307/400)77% (292/377)
Long passes
33% (22/66)57% (49/86)
Passes in final third
56% (53/94)68% (115/168)
Crosses
22% (2/9)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.821.00
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1020
Tackles
71% (5/7)76% (19/25)
Duels won
5163
Clearances
3117
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.030.60
Goals prevented
0.030.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Varatynov S. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Gil B. (Pen),
  • 44', Petrov I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 2, Petrov I. , Gassama N. (A),
  • 55', Kovalev Y. , Manelov I. ,
  • 59', Kramaric M. , Kovalenko A. ,
  • 59', Zinkovskiy A. , Mukhin M. ,
  • 59', Kravtsov K. , Attiyat Allah Y. ,
  • 61', Volkov S. , Bart R. ,
  • 65', Titkov N. , Mourid A. ,
  • 65', Gil B. , Offor C. ,
  • 72', Zaika K. 🟨,
  • 77', Zaika K. , Chirkov M. ,
  • 79', Petrov I. , Filin A. ,
  • 79', Petrov M. , Civic E. ,
  • 90', Offor C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sochi
24.8%
Draw
28.3%
Baltika Kaliningrad
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 29.2% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 29.6% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.
  • Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sochi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.88
    (3.16)
    3.4
    (3.37)
    2.05
    (2.49)
    4%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Baltika will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Baltika: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2.
    • Sochi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Baltika has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Baltika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Baltika will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sochi: Marcelo Alves (Red Card) Meleshin P. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi 2:0
    21.07.2024 Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad 1:1
    03.03.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad - Sochi 0:0
    23.07.2023 Sochi - Baltika Kaliningrad 2:0
    Latest results of Sochi
    17.08.2025 Krasnodar - Sochi 5:1
    13.08.2025 Sochi - Krylya Sovetov 2:1
    10.08.2025 Sochi - Dynamo Moscow 1:1
    04.08.2025 Rubin Kazan - Sochi 2:1
    29.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Sochi 3:2
    Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar751118:41416
    2CSKA Moscow743015:6915
    3Baltika743013:5815
    4Lokomotiv Moscow743018:11715
    5Zenit733113:7612
    6Spartak Moscow732210:11-111
    7Rubin Kazan732210:12-211
    8Krylya Sovetov723211:14-39
    9Dynamo Makhachkala72234:9-58
    10Dynamo Moscow72237:708
    11Akhmat Grozny72238:9-18
    12Orenburg71429:10-17
    13Akron Togliatti71339:10-16
    14FK Rostov71247:12-55
    15Pari NN71064:14-103
    16Sochi70164:19-151

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL