Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Sochi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 34
  • Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
86
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
54
Free Kicks
1214
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Maslov P. ,
  • 38', Milic S. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Gorelov P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tarba Z. , Masternoy V. ,
  • 46', Gorelov P. , Fomin D. ,
  • 57', Balkizov A. , Pisarskiy V. ,
  • 57', Shagiakhmetov R. , Saavedra I. ,
  • 57', Nikitin K. , Martovoy D. ,
  • 65', Uridia M. , Antonov A. ,
  • 71', Kaynov M. , Pasevich R. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Antonov A. ,
  • 77', Guzina G. , Krotov V. ,
  • 86', Ivanov E. , Yusupov Z. ,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
44.8%
Draw
28.4%
Sochi
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 30% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 30.8% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.
  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.52)
    3.2
    (3.2)
    3.38
    (3)
    10.3%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2.
    • Chernomorets is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sochi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Sochi
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation