Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Sochi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 34
  • Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
86
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
54
Free Kicks
1214
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Maslov P. ,
  • 38', Milic S. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Gorelov P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tarba Z. , Masternoy V. ,
  • 46', Gorelov P. , Fomin D. ,
  • 57', Balkizov A. , Pisarskiy V. ,
  • 57', Shagiakhmetov R. , Saavedra I. ,
  • 57', Nikitin K. , Martovoy D. ,
  • 65', Uridia M. , Antonov A. ,
  • 71', Kaynov M. , Pasevich R. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Antonov A. ,
  • 77', Guzina G. , Krotov V. ,
  • 86', Ivanov E. , Yusupov Z. ,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
44.8%
Draw
28.4%
Sochi
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 30% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 30.8% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.
  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.52)
    3.2
    (3.2)
    3.38
    (3)
    10.3%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2.
    • Chernomorets is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sochi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Sochi
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural32177848:291958
    4R. Volgograd321411742:251753
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl321113831:25646
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula32815941:39239
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation