Chernomorets Novorossiysk vs Sochi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 34
  • Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
86
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
54
Free Kicks
1214
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Maslov P. ,
  • 38', Milic S. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Gorelov P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tarba Z. , Masternoy V. ,
  • 46', Gorelov P. , Fomin D. ,
  • 57', Balkizov A. , Pisarskiy V. ,
  • 57', Shagiakhmetov R. , Saavedra I. ,
  • 57', Nikitin K. , Martovoy D. ,
  • 65', Uridia M. , Antonov A. ,
  • 71', Kaynov M. , Pasevich R. ,
  • 77', 2 - 1, Antonov A. ,
  • 77', Guzina G. , Krotov V. ,
  • 86', Ivanov E. , Yusupov Z. ,

Chances of winning


Chernomorets Novorossiysk
44.8%
Draw
28.4%
Sochi
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 30% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 30.8% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernomorets Novorossiysk's performance.
  • Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sochi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernomorets Novorossiysk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sochi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.52)
    3.2
    (3.2)
    3.38
    (3)
    10.3%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernomorets (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 2.
    • Chernomorets is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sochi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernomorets won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorets won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sochi were as follows:
    10.08.2024 Sochi - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Sochi
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh28185535:161959
    2Rodina Moscow281510348:242455
    3Ural28147741:271449
    4R. Volgograd28129736:221445
    5S. Kostroma281111640:33744
    6Kamaz28913641:281340
    7Chelyabinsk28912737:31639
    8Yenisey28910927:32-537
    9Neftekhimik28812831:32-136
    10Arsenal Tula28812838:34436
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl28812823:23036
    12Torpedo Moscow28981129:34-535
    13SKA Khabarovsk28811931:37-635
    14Ulyanovsk28871331:41-1031
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk28781332:39-729
    16Ufa286101229:35-628
    17FK Chayka28471726:63-3719
    18Saratov282101612:36-2416

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation